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Fantasy: Mock draft 2.0 for 2016-17

Restricted free agents still highly regarded; Jaden Schwartz's stock takes hit after injury

by Fantasy Hockey Staff @NHLFantasy / NHL.com

The fantasy landscape has changed quite a bit since NHL.com's standard mock draft 1.0 on Sept. 10.

With just about a week to go before the start of the regular season and plenty of injury news, NHL preseason and World Cup of Hockey 2016 implications in mind, here is an up-to-date simulation of a 12-team league. NHL.com Fantasy Insider Pete Jensen took part in the draft with active fantasy owners from around the world and breaks down the results of each round below. 

DRAFT GUIDES: KEEPER | HITS | POINTS-ONLY | AUCTION

NOTE: This is a 12-team, non-keeper league with standard categories and 16 players per team. Standard categories include goals, assists, plus/minus, penalty minutes, power-play points and shots on goal for skaters, and wins, goals-against average, save percentage and shutouts for goalies. Bold indicates Jensen's picks.

ROUND 1
1. Patrick Kane (CHI - RW)
2. Alex Ovechkin (WSH - LW)
3. Sidney Crosby (PIT - C)
4. Jamie Benn (DAL - LW)
5. Connor McDavid (EDM - C)
6. Vladimir Tarasenko (STL - RW)
7. Erik Karlsson (OTT- D)
8. Steven Stamkos (TBL - C)
9. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY - LW)
10. Braden Holtby (WSH - G)
11. Joe Pavelski (SJS - C/RW)
12. Brent Burns (SJS - D)

Video: SJS@STL, Gm2: Burns blasts one-timer PPG past Elliott

The biggest steal of the first round was Burns, who should be among the League scoring, power-play point and shots on goal leaders again in 2016-17. ... McDavid went right in line with his average draft position (5.0), which is a bit risky for a one-year league. ... I would refrain from spending a first-round pick on Stamkos, for a number of reasons. ... Gaudreau went higher than his NHL.com rank (11) despite being a restricted free agent with almost a week to go before the start of the regular season.

ROUND 2
13. Tyler Seguin (DAL - C)
14. John Tavares (NYI - C)
15. P.K. Subban (NSH - D)
16. Ben Bishop (TBL - G)
17. Carey Price (MTL - G)
18. Claude Giroux (PHI - C)
19. Artemi Panarin (CHI - LW)
20. Jonathan Quick (LAK - G)
21. Corey Perry (ANA - RW)
22. Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH - C)
23. Evgeni Malkin (PIT - C)
24. Anze Kopitar (LAK - C)

Subban warrants top-15 consideration upon joining the more up-tempo Nashville Predators, and was the third defenseman. ... The run on goalies came immediately after, with Bishop, Price and Quick rounding out the top 20. ... Tavares (14) and Kuznetsov (22) are potential second-round steals. ... Given the news that Panarin could be separated from Kane at even strength, I would be hesitant to pick him until the third round because of potential regression in his second NHL season.

ROUND 3
25. Logan Couture (SJS - C)
26. Martin Jones (SJS - G)
27. Cory Schneider (NJD - G)
28. John Gibson (ANA - G)
29. Nikita Kucherov (TBL - RW)
30. Blake Wheeler (WPG - RW)
31. Kris Letang (PIT - D)
32. Dustin Byfuglien (WPG - D)
33. Corey Crawford (CHI - G)
34. Nicklas Backstrom (WSH - C)
35. Jake Allen (STL - G)
36. Pekka Rinne (NSH - G)

Couture and Jones give the San Jose Sharks four players among the top 26, more than any other team. ... Six of the 12 picks this round were goalies, meaning 10 were drafted in the first three rounds. ... Letang went a bit higher than his ADP (38.3), but remains one of the biggest early-round bargains in the game. ... Gibson at 28 is too high for a non-keeper league. ... Kucherov, another restricted free agent forward, did not drop too far.

ROUND 4
37. Henrik Lundqvist (NYR - G)
38. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI - D)
39. Tuukka Rask (BOS - G)
40. Phil Kessel (PIT - RW)
41. Jack Eichel (BUF - C)
42. Taylor Hall (NJD - LW)
43. Roman Josi (NSH - D)
44. James Neal (NSH - RW)
45. Patrice Bergeron (BOS - C)
46. Wayne Simmonds (PHI - RW)
47. Joe Thornton (SJS - C)
48. Drew Doughty (LAK - D)

Video: SJS@PIT, Gm2: Kessel opens scoring after turnover

Ekman-Larsson, Kessel, Hall and Thornton are potential bargains if available in the fourth round or later. ... Lundqvist went high, but that's actually justified in this draft given the early run at his position. ... Rask, on the other hand, is a reach among the top 40 based on his NHL.com rank (97).

ROUND 5
49. Filip Forsberg (NSH - LW)
50. Max Pacioretty (MTL - LW)
51. Nathan MacKinnon (COL - C/RW)
52. Aleksander Barkov (FLA - C)
53. Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI - D)
54. John Klingberg (DAL - D)
55. Roberto Luongo (FLA - G)
56. John Carlson (WSH - D)
57. Sean Monahan (CGY - C)
58. Mark Giordano (CGY - D)
59. Brad Marchand (BOS - LW)
60. Zach Parise (MIN - LW)

MacKinnon, in a new system installed by Colorado Avalanche coach Jared Bednar, is a great value outside the top 50, especially as the second-ranked dual-eligible player in Yahoo. ... Barkov (ADP: 54.6), Monahan (62.9) and Mark Scheifele (63.2) consistently are available in the fifth round or later, so plan on taking one as your second center.

ROUND 6
61. Keith Yandle (FLA - D)
62. Victor Hedman (TBL - D)
63. Mark Scheifele (WPG - C)
64. Ryan Getzlaf (ANA - C)
65. Justin Faulk (CAR - D)
66. Tyler Toffoli (LAK - C/RW)
67. Brayden Schenn (PHI - C/LW)
68. Jonathan Toews (CHI - C)
69. Shea Weber (MTL - D)
70. Duncan Keith (CHI - D)
71. Devan Dubnyk (MIN - G)
72. Daniel Sedin (VAN - LW)

Yandle and Faulk going before Weber would have seemed crazy in previous seasons, but it's justified here given the youth and upside on their respective rosters and a downgrade for Weber in terms of power-play supporting cast with the Montreal Canadiens. ... Getzlaf went after his already-low ADP (59.6). ... Toffoli and Schenn, each dual eligible in Yahoo, were reached for but should have elite linemates again in Kopitar and Giroux, respectively.

ROUND 7
73. Brian Elliott (CGY - G)
74. Torey Krug (BOS - D)
75. Gabriel Landeskog (COL - LW)
76. Matt Murray (PIT - G)
77. Brandon Saad (CBJ - LW/RW)
78. Aaron Ekblad (FLA - D)
79. Ryan Johansen (NSH - C)
80. Matt Duchene (COL - C)
81. Alexander Steen (STL - LW)
82. Kevin Shattenkirk (STL - D)
83. Andrew Ladd (NYI - LW)
84. Patrick Sharp (DAL - LW/RW)

Video: Pete Jensen previews the top fantasy hockey picks

Murray dropped a bit based on ADP (71.4), but not as much as expected given that he'll miss 3-6 weeks because of a broken hand. ... Johansen had 34 points and 11 power-play points in 42 games with the Predators and will be on a first power-play unit with Subban, Josi, Forsberg and Neal. It's hard to explain how he remained available at 79. ... Duchene played in the World Cup of Hockey 2016 with a separated shoulder but said he's ready for the regular season and was drafted appropriately based on NHL.com rank (72).

ROUND 8
85. Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA - LW)
86. Frederik Andersen (TOR - G)
87. Kyle Palmieri (NJD - RW)
88. Tyson Barrie (COL - D)
89. Kyle Okposo (BUF - RW)
90. Milan Lucic (EDM - LW)
91. Jason Spezza (DAL - C)
92. Jakub Voracek (PHI - LW/RW)
93. Ryan O'Reilly (BUF - C/LW)
94. Petr Mrazek (DET - G)
95. Jordan Eberle (EDM - RW)
96. Craig Anderson (OTT- G)

Andersen (NHL.com rank: 120) and Anderson (181) were taken too high in this mock, but at least there's some good news on Andersen's front; he's expected to make his preseason debut for the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday, dismissing some injury concerns. Andersen had to miss the World Cup after sustaining an upper-body injury during an Olympic qualifying tournament. ... O'Reilly goes extremely low in drafts (ADP: 91.0), even after leading the Buffalo Sabres in scoring despite missing time because of injury last season. ... Palmieri is coming off a career season but should not be going before dual-eligible Voracek and O'Reilly.

ROUND 9
97. T.J. Oshie (WSH - RW)
98. Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF - D)
99. Max Domi (ARI - LW)
100. Jake Muzzin (LAK - D)
101. Marc-Andre Fleury (PIT - G)
102. Rick Nash (NYR - LW)
103. Dylan Larkin (DET - C/RW)
104. Jaroslav Halak (NYI - G)
105. Mark Stone (OTT- RW)
106. Ryan Suter (MIN - D)
107. Loui Eriksson (VAN - LW)
108. Marc-Edouard Vlasic (SJS - D)

Halak has seen a clear value spike after a tremendous performance for Team Europe at the World Cup, jumping from his ADP of 125.4 to 104 in this mock. ... It's no surprise Fleury is the first depth goalie drafted given Murray's injury concerns. He's ranked ahead of Murray in NHL.com's latest top 250. ... Depending on the draft, Domi and Ristolainen may not be available this late.

ROUND 10
109. Patric Hornqvist (PIT - RW)
110. Alexander Radulov (MTL - RW)
111. Scott Hartnell (CBJ - LW)
112. Dougie Hamilton (CGY - D)
113. James van Riemsdyk (TOR - LW)
114. Brent Seabrook (CHI - D)
115. Thomas Greiss (NYI - G)
116. Sami Vatanen (ANA - D)
117. Jaromir Jagr (FLA - RW)
118. Alex Pietrangelo (STL - D)
119. Bobby Ryan (OTT- RW)
120. Alec Martinez (LAK - D)

Hartnell remains a category coverage asset, but he was taken way too high in this mock. He's usually available in the final rounds of a standard, 12-team draft (ADP: 172.4). ... Defensemen are flying off the shelves; Martinez was the 30th drafted through 10 rounds. ... Don't expect Ryan to be drafted ahead of Winnipeg Jets rookie forward Patrik Laine in most leagues.

Video: A look at the 2016-17 fantasy sleepers and bargains

ROUND 11
121. Ryan McDonagh (NYR - D)
122. Seth Jones (CBJ - D)
123. Colton Parayko (STL - D)
124. Hampus Lindholm (ANA - D)
125. Matt Dumba (MIN - D)
126. Robin Lehner (BUF - G)
127. Patrik Laine (WPG - RW)
128. Cam Fowler (ANA - D)
129. Anton Stralman (TBL - D)
130. Patrick Marleau (SJS - C/LW)
131. Cam Talbot (EDM - G)
132. Zdeno Chara (BOS - D)

Goalie options became thin after Lehner went in the middle of the 11th round. Parayko, Lindholm and Dumba are young defensemen with upside that were taken ahead of older, steady fantasy options like Stralman and Chara. ... Even with dual eligibility in Yahoo, there's no reason to reach so far for Marleau, who could see a decline in power-play ice time this season. ... Laine's ADP is 138.9, second among rookies to Auston Matthews (122.0), but the Winnipeg Jets right wing is going ahead of Matthews in many formats because of position scarcity.

ROUND 12
133. Alex Galchenyuk (MTL - C)
134. Cam Atkinson (CBJ - RW)
135. Mats Zuccarello (NYR - RW)
136. Michael Stone (ARI - D)
137. Auston Matthews (TOR - C)
138. Morgan Rielly (TOR - D)
139. Matt Niskanen (WSH - D)
140. Mike Hoffman (OTT- LW)
141. Olli Maatta (PIT - D)
142. T.J. Brodie (CGY - D)
143. Nick Leddy (NYI - D)
144. Dion Phaneuf (OTT- D)

Once Seth Jones, a breakout candidate, came off the board, fantasy owners immediately should have thought about Rielly as the next best emerging fantasy option. ... If you take care of your four defensemen early, you can pounce on the many high-upside forwards available late in standard drafts, such as Galchenyuk, Matthews and Hoffman in this round. ... More than half the picks in the 12th round (seven of 12) were defensemen.

ROUND 13
145. Ryan Kesler (ANA - C)
146. Jeff Carter (LAK - C)
147. Boone Jenner (CBJ - C/LW)
148. Jussi Jokinen (FLA - LW)
149. Johnny Oduya (DAL - D)
150. David Krejci (BOS - C)
151. Mike Smith (ARI - G)
152. Chris Kreider (NYR - LW)
153. Adam Henrique (NJD - C)
154. Alex Goligoski (ARI - D)
155. Niklas Kronwall (DET - D)
156. Andrei Markov (MTL - D)

Smith usually falls this far in drafts despite being poised for a heavy workload for the Coyotes if healthy. ... Carter (NHL.com rank: 107) and dual-eligible Jenner (123) are major steals if available this late. ... Kreider's productive preseason alongside Mika Zibanejad and Pavel Buchnevich for the New York Rangers is making him a late-round commodity.

ROUND 14
157. Vincent Trocheck (FLA - C)
158. Jonathan Drouin (TBL - LW)
159. Derick Brassard (OTT- C)
160. Jeff Skinner (CAR - LW)
161. Mika Zibanejad (NYR - C/RW)
162. Robby Fabbri (STL - C/LW)
163. Jaden Schwartz (STL - LW)
164. Tyler Johnson (TBL - C)
165. Tomas Hertl (SJS - C)
166. Justin Williams (WSH - RW)
167. Marian Hossa (CHI - RW)
168. Henrik Zetterberg (DET - C/LW)

You can count on Trocheck being overlooked in most drafts, even after he had 53 points with a plus-15 in 76 games last season. There is a huge discrepancy between his NHL.com rank (112) and Yahoo ADP (159.9). ... Drouin, Zibanejad, Fabbri and Johnson were available this late because of the run on defensemen in previous rounds. Each is likely to outperform such low draft positions. ... Schwartz's value took a major hit after it was announced that he'll miss at least one month because of an elbow injury, but he's still worth drafting in a spot like this.

Video: Fantasy hockey analysis with Pete Jensen

ROUND 15
169. Sergei Bobrovsky (CBJ - G)
170. Semyon Varlamov (COL - G)
171. Michael Cammalleri (NJD - LW)
172. Brendan Gallagher (MTL - RW)
173. Joonas Donskoi (SJS - RW)
174. James Reimer (FLA - G)
175. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL - G)
176. Derek Stepan (NYR - C)
177. Antti Niemi (DAL - G)
178. Andrej Sekera (EDM - D)
179. Oscar Klefbom (EDM - D)
180. Sebastian Aho (CAR - RW)

The lower tier of full-time starting goalies (Bobrovsky, Varlamov) went off the board early in the 15th round. True backups with upside (Reimer, Vasilevskiy) almost immediately followed. … Gallagher, expected to flank Pacioretty and Galchenyuk on Montreal's top line, is a must-have player at this stage of a draft. ... Aho is a creative pick that could pay off largely if he plays among the Carolina Hurricanes' top-six forward group and first power-play unit. ... Sekera and Klefbom could offer coveted exposure to McDavid.

ROUND 16
181. Anthony Duclair (ARI - LW/RW)
182. Henrik Sedin (VAN - C)
183. Reilly Smith (FLA - RW)
184. David Pastrnak (BOS - RW)
185. Noah Hanifin (CAR - D)
186. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR - LW/RW)
187. Jakob Silfverberg (ANA - RW)
188. Michal Neuvirth (PHI - G)
189. Ryan Miller (VAN - G)
190. Steve Mason (PHI - G)
191. Chris Kunitz (PIT - LW)
192. Jarome Iginla (COL - RW)

The Sedins and Eriksson each should have at least 60 points this season, making Henrik a gold mine this late in a draft as a bench player. … Neuvirth and Mason usually are available together or separately this late in a draft if you feel you are lacking in the goalie department. ... Duclair and Teravainen are sleeper candidates who should take the next step for their respective teams and bring added roster flexibility. That said, don't expect them to always be around quite this late.

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