Strictly from a mathematics standpoint, it's somewhere in the neighborhood of 40-50 percent as of publishing this. That number shifts by a couple percentage points in either direction with each passing game and each passing day.
If we use a target playoff cut line of 95 points in the Eastern Conference (it was 97 a season ago), the Hurricanes need to collect at least 31 points in their last 25 games. A 16-9-0 record gets the team just over that hump. It's certainly possible, especially considering that the team is a league-best 14-5-1 since New Year's Eve. But, in addition to taking care of their own business - that's first and foremost, because if they don't, this is all moot anyway - the Canes are going to need some help above them. On the outside looking in, they're going to need one team to fall out of the race. Pittsburgh and Columbus are two teams in that current conversation; the Canes play in Columbus on March 15, host Pittsburgh on March 19 and travel to Pittsburgh on March 31. Those could be momentous, head-to-head match-ups considering the landscape as it stands today.
It's likely going to come right down to the wire, which will make for a fun stretch run of the season.
With that in mind …
Tweet from @liam_dao: What do you think is special about this team that could potentially lead to the playoff curse being over? Also, do you think we will end up playing some playoff hockey?
Wherever this ends up, it certainly feels different this season, and that's a good thing.
And to me, it feels different because of the shift in thinking in the Hurricanes' locker room, spearheaded by head coach Rod Brind'Amour and acted upon on a nightly basis by this hard-working, scrappy team.
Brind'Amour put this perfectly into words in Ottawa earlier this week:
"We expect more now, and I love it. I love the fact that the bar has been raised. We expect to win every night. That's something that is I think is a real positive and is a testament to the guys in the room. They've earned that level of expectation from me. We're a good team."
That's the difference. That's the belief. And that's why I believe this team has a real chance to make the playoffs this season.