Fantasy picks, props with EDGE stats for Stanley Cup Final
Projections, futures, advanced metrics for championship series; podcast analysis
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2025 STANLEY CUP FINAL: GAME 5 - Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers on Saturday (8 p.m. ET; TNT, truTV, MAX, CBC, TVAS, SN)
Player to watch for shots on goal, point and/or goal: Corey Perry, F, EDM
The Edmonton Oilers wing has 13 points in 20 games, is tied for third in the postseason with nine goals and leads them with five power-play goals. Perry, who has three points (two goals, one assist) in four games in the 2025 Stanley Cup Final, has at least one point in five of his past six games and has four goals over that span, including the latest game-tying goal in Stanley Cup Final history (18 seconds left in Game 2). Perry ranks third on the Oilers in SOG (14) and shot attempts (24) and is tied for first on the team with Evan Bouchard in SOG on the power play (eight) in the series against the Florida Panthers. He has nine SOG in his past two games and at least two in six straight games. Despite turning 40 years old last month, Perry ranks third all-time in postseason goals (10) recorded by a player after turning 39. Per NHL EDGE stats, Perry leads all players in the Stanley Cup Final in high-danger SOG (10), is tied for first this postseason in high-danger goals (eight) and ranks second behind Connor McDavid in high-danger SOG (25). -- Chris Meaney
Player to watch for SOG, assist and/or goal: Sam Reinhart, F, FLA
The Florida Panthers wing has 18 points (six goals, 12 assists) in 19 games in the postseason and five points (two goals, three assists) in the past two games of the Stanley Cup Final. Reinhart leads the Panthers in shot attempts (29), is tied with wing Brad Marchand for the team-lead in SOG (17) and paces all Florida forwards in ice time (106:58) in the series. Reinhart, who was held without a SOG in three games in the third round against the Carolina Hurricanes, has had at least three SOG in each game of the Stanley Cup Final and at least four in his past three games. Per NHL EDGE stats, Reinhart leads all forwards in the postseason in long-range SOG (eight), is second in the entire NHL in midrange SOG (21) and ranks sixth at his position in total miles skated at all strengths in the postseason (63.81). -- Meaney
Player to watch for point, assist or SOG: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, F, EDM
The Oilers forward scored a goal on the power play and had an assist in their 5-4 overtime win in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final. It was Nugent-Hopkins first two points of the series and the fifth time in his past nine games where he has had at least two points in a game. Nugent-Hopkins, who has 20 points (six goals, 14 assists) in 20 games in the postseason, was promoted to the first line with elite center McDavid and wing Connor Brown, and they played 10:49 together at 5-on-5, more than any other Edmonton line in Game 4. Nugent-Hopkins has 10 points (two goals, eight assists) in nine home games in the postseason and is averaging 2.77 shots per game (compared to 1.81 on the road). He has had at least two SOG in all nine home games and at least three in five of those games. Per NHL EDGE stats, Nugent-Hopkins ranks third among all forwards in top shot speed (94.12 mph), seventh in total miles skated (62.69), is tied for eighth in high-danger SOG (19), is tied for fourth in midrange goals (three) and tied for second in long-range goals (one). -- Meaney
Player to watch for SOG, assist and/or goal: Eetu Luostarinen, F, FLA
The Panthers wing has 16 points (four goals, 12 assists) in 21 games this postseason, including three points (all assists) in the first four games of the Stanley Cup Final. Luostarinen, who had his most shots on goal (five) in any of his 101 games this season (regular season & Stanley Cup Playoffs combined) in Game 4, has been a key member of Florida's best forward line at even strength with center Anton Lundell and wing Marchand. That trio has generated 43 shot attempts and 19 SOG when on the ice together at 5-on-5 in this series, the most of any line from either team. 15 of Luostarinen's 16 points this postseason have come at 5-on-5, tied for second in the entire League trailing only McDavid (17 in 20 games). Per NHL EDGE stats, Luostarinen ranks highly at his position in high-danger goals (four; 96th percentile), total skating distance (52.90 miles; 94th percentile) and high-danger SOG (12; 87th percentile) this postseason. -- Troy Perlowitz
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Others to watch for goal and/or point:
Connor McDavid, F, EDM
Sam Bennett, F, FLA
Leon Draisaitl, F, EDM
Others to watch for assist and/or point:
Evan Bouchard, D, EDM
Carter Verhaeghe, F, FLA
Aleksander Barkov, F, FLA
Others to watch for shots on goal:
Connor McDavid, F, EDM
Evan Bouchard, D, EDM
Brad Marchand, F, FLA
Others to watch for blocked shots:
Jake Walman, D, EDM
Brett Kulak, D, EDM
Gustav Forsling, D, FLA
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FUTURES WATCH
Players who could lead series in goals:
Sam Bennett, F, FLA
Leon Draisaitl, F, EDM
Brad Marchand, F, FLA
Sam Reinhart, F, EDM
Players who could lead series in shots on goal:
Evan Bouchard, D, EDM
Connor McDavid, F, EDM
Sam Bennett, F, FLA
Sam Reinhart, F, FLA
Top 5 to consider for Conn Smythe Trophy:
1. Sam Bennett, F, FLA
2. Leon Draisaitl, F, EDM
3. Connor McDavid, F, EDM
4. Brad Marchand, F, FLA
5. Sergei Bobrovsky, G, FLA
