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NOTES: Goalie win projections (for 84-game season) have been quantified based on factors including but not limited to past performance in the regular season and Stanley Cup Playoffs, team goalie situations, anticipated start volume, projected goal support (or lack thereof), injury history or concern, sleeper upside, anticipated regression or bounce-back candidacy, age, contract status and overall upside for this season. The below totals are safe win estimates, do not indicate each player's ceiling or floor and should be used as a basis for fantasy draft picks, especially in wins-only leagues.
The order of projected win totals (highest to lowest) differs from NHL.com's fantasy rankings because the latter list takes standard peripheral categories (goals-against average, save percentage, shutouts) into account. Injuries could affect whether a player meets or comes close to his win projection. These win projections are a collaborative effort by Pete Jensen, Chris Meaney and Troy Perlowitz.
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GOALIE WIN PROJECTIONS
Andrei Vasilevskiy, G, TBL: 39
Jake Oettinger, G, DAL: 38
Logan Thompson, G, WSH: 35
Karel Vejmelka, G, UTA: 34
Jeremy Swayman, G, BOS: 33
Brandon Bussi, G, CAR: 33
Jesper Wallstedt, G, MIN: 33
Jakub Dobes, G, MTL: 32
Igor Shesterkin, G, NYR: 32
Connor Hellebuyck, G, WPG: 32
Lukas Dostal, G, ANA: 31
Ilya Sorokin, G, NYI: 31
Linus Ullmark, G, OTT: 31
Jacob Markstrom, G, FLA: 30
Juuse Saros, G, NSH: 30
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, G, BUF: 28
Scott Wedgewood, G, COL: 28
Jake Allen, G, NJD: 28
Sergei Bobrovsky, G, TOR: 28
Dan Vladar, G, PHI: 27
Carter Hart, G, VGK: 27
John Gibson, G, DET: 26
Mackenzie Blackwood, G, COL: 25
Jet Greaves, G, CBJ: 25
Frederik Andersen, G, EDM: 25
Yaroslav Askarov, G, SJS: 25
Spencer Knight, G, CHI: 24
Joel Hofer, G, STL: 24
Arturs Silovs, G, PIT: 23
Darcy Kuemper, G, LAK: 21
Dustin Wolf, G, CGY: 20
Akira Schmid, G, FLA: 20
Joey Daccord, G, SEA: 20
Pyotr Kochetkov, G, CAR: 19
Alex Lyon or Colten Ellis, G, BUF: 18
Tristan Jarry or Devon Levi, G, EDM: 18
Adin Hill, G, VGK: 18
Sergei Murashov, G, PIT: 17
Alex Nedeljkovic or Eric Comrie, G, SJS: 17
Jordan Binnington, G, STL: 17
Anton Forsberg, G, LAK: 16
Joseph Woll, G, PHI: 16
Anthony Stolarz, G, TOR: 16
Jacob Fowler or Sam Montembeault, G, MTL: 15
Nico Daws, G, NJD: 15
Charlie Lindgren, G, WSH: 15
Thatcher Demko, G, VAN: 14
Daniil Tarasov, G, DET: 14
Elvis Merzlikins, G, CBJ: 13
Filip Gustavsson or Calvin Pickard, G, MIN: 13
Samuel Ersson, G or Leevi Merilainen, G: 12
Ville Husso or Laurent Brossoit, G, ANA: 11
Devin Cooley or Arsenii Sergeev, G, CGY: 11
Casey DeSmith, G, DAL: 11
Kevin Lankinen, G, VAN: 11
Michael DiPietro, G, BOS: 10
Justus Annunen, G, NSH: 10
Philipp Grubauer, G, SEA: 10
Sebastian Cossa, G, UTA: 10
Semyon Varlamov or Vitek Vanecek, G, NYI: 9
Arvid Soderblom or Drew Commesso, G, CHI: 8
Dennis Hildeby or Jonas Johansson, G, TBL: 8
Stuart Skinner, G, WPG: 8
Joonas Korpisalo, G, NYR: 7
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TEAM WIN PROJECTIONS
NOTES: Team win projections have been quantified by combining NHL.com's fantasy win projections for individual goalies from each team. These win projections add up to the total number of games to be played in the NHL this season (1,312). Pluses and minuses indicate team win totals compared to last season. These projections do not factor in overtime and shootout losses, which count for one point toward the NHL standings and could impact the final order of finish.
Atlantic Division
FLA: 50 (plus-10)
MTL: 47 (minus-1)
TBL: 47 (minus-3)
BUF: 46 (minus-4)
TOR: 44 (plus-12)
OTT: 43 (minus-1)
BOS: 43 (minus-2)
DET: 40 (minus-1)
Metropolitan Division
CAR: 52 (minus-1)
WSH: 50 (plus-7)
PHI: 43 (same)
NJD: 43 (plus-1)
PIT: 40 (minus-1)
NYI: 40 (minus-3)
NYR: 39 (plus-5)
CBJ: 38 (minus-2)
Central Division
COL: 53 (minus-2)
DAL: 49 (minus-1)
MIN: 46 (same)
UTA: 44 (plus-1)
STL: 41 (plus-4)
NSH: 40 (plus-2)
WPG: 40 (plus-5)
CHI: 32 (plus-3)
Pacific Division
VGK: 45 (plus-6)
EDM: 43 (plus-2)
SJS: 42 (plus-3)
ANA: 42 (minus-1)
LAK: 37 (plus-2)
CGY: 31 (minus-3)
SEA: 30 (minus-4)
VAN: 24 (minus-1)
