Senators chances in the NHL Draft Lottery

Breaking down the Senators odds at the NHL Draft Lottery

Draft Lottery

The NHL Draft lottery is just 24 hours away! Fans can tune in to watch live on May 7th at 6:30 p.m. on Sportsnet and TVAS, in English and French respectively.

For anyone who has never followed the NHL Draft lottery before, it offers all the 16 teams that did not qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs a chance to move up in the NHL Draft order from the position they finished the season in for the first round. The odds of moving up in an inverse order of which the teams finished the season with the best odds (25.5%) going to the team who finished the season with the fewest points and the worst odds going to the team that was closest to making the playoffs. Teams can only move up ten spots meaning that only 11 of the 16 teams in the Draft Lottery can claim the first overall pick, and only 12 can claim the second overall pick.

The Senators finished the 2023-24 NHL season with the 7th fewest points so they will pick in the seventh spot in each round that they hold their own pick. However, in the first round they can move up as high as the first overall pick and as low as the ninth overall pick.

Below is a total breakdown of the NHL Draft Lottery odds for each possible lottery position:

Draft Lottery Odds

Team
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
SJS
25.5
18.8
55.7
CHI
13.5
14.1
30.7
41.7
ANA
11.5
11.2
7.8
39.7
29.8
CBJ
9.5
9.5
0.3
15.4
44.6
20.8
MTL
8.5
8.6
0.3
24.5
44.0
20.8
UTA
7.5
7.7
0.2
34.1
41.4
9.1
OTT
6.5
6.7
0.2
44.4
36.5
5.6
SEA
6.0
6.2
0.2
54.4
30.0
3.2
CGY
5.0
5.2
0.2
64.4
23.5
1.7
NJD
3.5
3.7
0.1
73.3
18.4
0.9
BUF
3.0
3.2
0.1
79.9
13.4
0.5
PHI
5.1
0.1
0.1
85.7
8.9
0.2
MIN
4.2
>0
>0
90.7
5.1
>0
PIT
3.2
>0
>0
94.7
2.1
>0
DET
1.1
>0
97.9
1.1
STL
1.1
98.9

The Senators have found some top talents in the top of the NHL Draft in the past including Chris Philipps, Jason Spezza, Radek Bonk and Tim Stützle. Moving up on Tuesday greatly helps the chances of finding the next core piece for this Senators team, however even a top-nine pick offers a real luxury for the Sens come draft night.

Historical Senators Draft Picks

Round
Players
1st
Alexandre Daigle, Bryan Berard, Chris Phillips
2nd
Alexei Yashin, Jason Spezza
3rd
Radek Bonk, Tim Stützle
7th
-
8th
-
9th
Brian Lee, Jared Cowen

Senators 2024 NHL Draft Picks

Round
Pick
Team
Notes
1
7*
OTT
1
26#
BOS
2
39
OTT
4
103
OTT
4
111
DET
4
116
TBL
4
124#
FLA
Acquired on 03/06/2024. If Florida wins Stanley Cup this year, the pick becomes Florida's 2026 third round pick
5
135
OTT

* Subject to change based on Draft Lottery results

# Subject to change based on playoff results

Tune in Tuesday night on Sportsnet or TVAS to see where the Senators will end up drafting in the first round of the 2024 NHL Draft.

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