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Fantasy buyer beware players in 2019-20

Draisaitl, Laine, Grubauer among risky picks based on average draft position, other concerns

by Fantasy Hockey Staff @NHLFantasy

NHL.com identifies 10 buyer beware players for 2019-20 based on high average draft positions and other factors. For more fantasy coverage, visit NHL.com/Fantasy and subscribe for free to the NHL Fantasy on Ice podcast.

 

MORE FANTASY COVERAGE: Top 250 rankings | Bargains by position | Cheat sheet

STAT PROJECTIONS: Forward points | Defensemen | Goalie/team wins

 

NOTES: Players listed below are being drafted on average inside the top 100 overall in Yahoo and come with risk(s) based on performance trends, offseason movement, coaching changes, lineup concerns, age, injury history and/or contract status.

Video: Jensen, Reese analyze latest fantasy mock draft

 

CENTER

Leon Draisaitl, EDM (ADP: 12.3)
Concerns: Potential regression in shooting percentage (21.6; highest in NHL, minimum 200 shots on goal, since 1995-96); new defensive coach Dave Tippett; Connor McDavid's knee injury concern; lack of secondary scoring help if moved to separate line from McDavid.

Patrice Bergeron, BOS (ADP: 29.4)
Concerns: Groin injury; recent injury history, deep Stanley Cup Playoff run; age (34); has never reached 80 points in single season.

 

LEFT WING

Artemi Panarin, NYR (ADP: 17.3)
Concerns: Lack of category coverage (18 power-play points; 14 hits; 191 shots on goal) with Blue Jackets last season; Rangers' expedited rebuild leaves holes at second line center and on defense; lofty expectations, recency bias after being biggest offseason signing.

 

RIGHT WING

Patrik Laine, WPG (ADP: 40.9)
Concerns: Plays on separate line from elite forwards Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler; low floor for elite forward (regressed to 50 points last season); Jets' void at center on second line, Winnipeg's first round postseason exit.

Elias Lindholm, CGY (ADP: 86.0)
Concerns: Can he repeat his production (NHL career-high 78 points, 14.8 shooting percentage) from last season? Previous high in points was 45; Flames' first round postseason exit.

 

DEFENSEMAN

Dustin Byfuglien, WPG (ADP: 55.6)
Concerns: On personal leave; suspended by Jets for not being at training camp; recent injury history; age (34).

Morgan Rielly, TOR (ADP: 57.1)
Concerns: Could lose first power-play spot to Tyson Barrie (acquired from Avalanche); had best shooting percentage last season (9.0; career average: 5.2); scored 20 goals (led NHL defensemen), but never previously reached double digits in category.

 

GOALIE

Tuukka Rask, BOS (ADP: 27.8)
Concerns: .912 save percentage in 46 games last season, splitting time with Jaroslav Halak (.922 in 40 games); deep Stanley Cup Playoff run; lofty expectations, recency bias after strong postseason (15-9, .934 SV%); injury concerns for Bergeron, David Krejci; difficult Atlantic Division.

Jordan Binnington, STL (ADP: 49.6)
Concerns: Is his early success sustainable? Potential regression after going 24-5-1 in regular season, winning Stanley Cup as rookie; difficult Central Division; deep playoff run; lofty expectations, recency bias.

Philipp Grubauer, COL (ADP: 75.5)
Concerns: Has been mostly backup in NHL (career-high 37 games last season); can he handle increased volume as clear No. 1 goalie (Semyon Varlamov signed with Islanders)? Had .939 SV% in first round of playoffs; .914 in second round; young defense and top-heavy offense; elite right wing Mikko Rantanen remains unsigned RFA.
 

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