Sennecke Marner for EDGE Round 2 ANA VGK series preview May 4 26

NHL.com's fantasy staff continues to cover the latest trends and storylines in the League through the lens of NHL EDGE puck and player tracker stats. Today, we provide three underlying metrics to watch for in the upcoming Stanley Cup Playoffs series between the Vegas Golden Knights and Anaheim Ducks.

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1. Golden Knights’ high-danger prowess

Vegas leads the NHL with 14 high-danger goals this postseason, including multiple high-danger goals from forwards Pavel Dorofeyev (three), Brett Howden, Nic Dowd and Colton Sissons (two each). The Golden Knights had the best high-danger shots on goal differential (plus-20) of any team in the first round (53 high-danger shots for, 33 high-danger shots against). The Golden Knights have the second-most high-danger shots on goal (53) this postseason behind the Buffalo Sabres (54).

Ducks goalie Lukas Dostal, meanwhile, has struggled against high-danger shots (.718 high-danger save percentage this postseason; NHL average: .831). But Anaheim's power play has been one of its strengths this postseason, converting on an NHL-best 50.0 percent of man-advantage opportunities (8-for-16) in the series upset against the Edmonton Oilers. Ducks veteran forward Alex Killorn had three high-danger goals in the first round, tied for second in the entire NHL behind Brandon Hagel of the Tampa Bay Lightning (four).

EDM@ANA, Gm 3: Killorn snaps the rebound behind Ingram to tie it back up in the 2nd

Among goalies who have played multiple games this postseason, Vegas goalie Carter Hart is tied for second in high-danger save percentage (.909) behind Alex Lyon of the Buffalo Sabres (.926). The Golden Knights also have the third-best penalty kill percentage (93.8) this postseason, giving them a chance to contain Anaheim’s high-flying offense.

2. Ducks’ scoring depth

Anaheim had four players with more than a point per game (Jackson LaCombe, Troy Terry, Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier) in the opening round against Edmonton. The Ducks are also the only team with eight players of at least five points this postseason. During the regular season, the Ducks had three 60-point scorers, all 22 years old or younger, in Gauthier (69 in 76 games), Carlsson (67 in 70 games) and rookie Beckett Sennecke (60 in 82 games).

Despite four wins in six playoff games so far, Hart had a sub-.900 save percentage (.898) in the first round and struggled in Vegas’ Game 3 loss at the Utah Mammoth (.667 save percentage; four goals allowed on 12 shots faced). Anaheim had a slightly better 5-on-5 shot attempts percentage (53.2) in its series against Edmonton (46.8) than Vegas (52.0) did in its series against Utah (48.0). This regular season, Anaheim was one of the NHL’s most-improved teams in 5-on-5 shot attempts percentage (52.2; seventh) compared to last season (46.3; 30th) under new coach Joel Quenneville.

3. Vegas’ defensive structure

Per NHL EDGE IQ, the Golden Knights had the third-lowest average Projected Goal Rate (PGR) against (5.23 percent) during the regular season, indicating their defense did not allow as many high-quality scoring chances as most of the other teams around the League.

Vegas also ranks second in offensive zone time percentage at both all strengths (43.8) and even strength (43.7) this postseason. Golden Knights forward Mitch Marner had seven points (two goals, five assists) in the first round, including two goals, one assist and seven shots on goal in the series-clinching Game 6 win. Marner had two shorthanded assists in the first round and leads Vegas in both 5-on-5 shot attempts percentage (60.7) and 5-on-5 shot attempts differential (plus-35) this postseason.

Since Vegas hired John Tortorella as coach, the team has 11 wins in 14 games (regular season and playoffs combined). But three of the Golden Knights’ four wins against Utah in the first round were comeback victories (each featuring game-tying or go-ahead goal in third period), indicating Anaheim could continue its opportunistic play.

Ahead of the first-ever playoff series between the Golden Knights and Ducks, it's worth noting Anaheim went 3-0-0 against Vegas this regular season, sweeping the season series for the first time in franchise history. Two of Anaheim’s Western Conference-leading 26 comeback wins this regular season came against the Golden Knights.

VGK@UTA, Gm 6: Marner puts home the rebound on the power play with his second

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