2011 Draft Lottery Simulator
by edmontonoilers.com staff / Edmonton Oilers| A look at the NHL's draft lottery selection machine. |
With the Draft Lottery, all 14 non-playoff teams have an opportunity to win the draw. A win means that you can move up no more than four spots. For the teams ranked fifth or higher that means a draft lottery victory ensures they will win the coveted first-overall position.
The Oilers have a 25.0% chance of winning the draft lottery outright and a 48.2% chance of gaining the first overall pick. If any team ranked sixth through 14th wins the lottery, the Oilers retain top spot.
The Draft Lottery Drawing for the 2011 NHL Entry Draft will be held Tuesday, April 12 at 6:00 p.m. MDT. Can't wait until then? We've created a simulator with all the actual odds built in so you can test out and see how the Oilers might do. Click the button below and try it out.
The best part about our simulator? If you don't like the result, hit refresh and try again! 2010-11 DRAFT DRAWING PROBABILITY CHART
(through games of Thursday, April 7)
| Current | ------------- PERCENTAGES OF ------------- | ||||||
| Non-Playoff Club * | Draft Pos. | Pts | If Selected | Winning | Getting 1st | Dropping | Not Dropping |
| Edmonton | 1 | 61 | Retain 1st pick | 25.0% | 48.2% | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Colorado | 2 | 66 | 2nd to 1st | 18.8% | 18.8% | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Florida | 3 | 70 | 3rd to 1st | 14.2% | 14.2% | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| NY Islanders | 4 | 72 | 4th to 1st | 10.7% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 77.4% |
| Ottawa | 5 | 74 | 5th to 1st | 8.1% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 82.8% |
| New Jersey | 6 | 79 | 6th to 2nd | 6.2% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| Atlanta | 7 | 80 | 7th to 3rd | 4.7% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 90.1% |
| Columbus | 8 | 81 | 8th to 4th | 3.6% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 92.6% |
| Minnesota | 9 | 82 | 9th to 5th | 2.7% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 94.5% |
| Boston (from TOR) | 10 | 85 | 10th to 6th | 2.1% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 96.1% |
| St. Louis | 11 | 85 | 11th to 7th | 1.5% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 97.6% |
| Carolina | 12 | 89 | 12th to 8th | 1.1% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 98.7% |
| Calgary | 13 | 93 | 13th to 9th | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 99.5% |
| Dallas | 14 | 93 | 14th to 10th | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
* or club acquiring non-playoff club's draft pick
Legend
Winning - percentage chance of winning the Draft Drawing (see above, 'If Selected')
Getting 1st - percentage chance of being awarded the first overall pick as a result of the Draft Drawing
Dropping - percentage chance of moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing
Not Dropping - percentage chance of not moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing
Summary Of Transferred Draft Picks
Toronto to Boston: Toronto traded its 1st- and 2nd-round picks in the 2010 Entry Draft and 1st-round pick in 2011 to Boston for RW Phil Kessel (09/18/09).