While few predicted the Carolina Hurricanes and Buffalo Sabres would be the two teams left standing come the Eastern Conference Finals, there is no question both have earned their places in the final fight for a berth in the Stanley Cup Finals.
Carolina knocked off Montreal in the first round before dispatching the red-hot New Jersey Devils in Round 2. The 'Canes have won eight of their past nine playoff games by returning to the quick, relentless style that helped the club run away with the Southeast Conference title and the No. 2 seed in the playoffs.
Buffalo, meanwhile, opened the hockey world's eyes with a pair of
stunning series victories, sending home the more physical and experienced Flyers before dismantling the top-seeded Ottawa Senators in a masterful display of a skill and tenacity during the course of five taut contests.
Both teams rely on their depth and team speed to find success, suggesting that this series will be played at a furiously high tempo and could conceivably be stretched to a Game 7. Stacked, if unheralded, defense corps and hot, young goalies on each side of the equation offer further proof that this series could be decided by the smallest of margins.
Each team has game-breakers capable of making the difference when the strengths are cancelled out. Youngster Eric Staal has continued his regular-season dominance for the Hurricanes, following up a 100-point regular season with a team-high 15 points this postseason. Captain Rod Brind'Amour has been dominant in all three zones, setting the example his Carolina teammates have eagerly followed to long-term success.
For Buffalo, it is more a case of offense by committee, but Chris Drury and Daniel Briere, the team's co-captains, remain imminently capable of taking over not only a game, but a series.
Because of the depth on display for both teams, the coaches in this series will be forced to do their best job yet in the postseason. Carolina's Peter Laviolette will have to find a way blunt Buffalo's relentless wave of attacking options by judiciously deploying his defenders and exploiting advantages in matchups between forward lines. Buffalo's Lindy Ruff, meanwhile, most find answers for Carolina's rampaging top two lines, which have carried the day so far. He must also find a way to address Laviolette's penchant to double-shift Staal at every possible turn.
Carolina Game Breakers
1. Mark Recchi: The veteran right wing has yet to truly break out in these playoffs, but he has been incredibly consistent, managing three goals and eight points in 11 games. He is underrated in his own end and can be more dangerous on the attack if he concentrates on shooting more often. Recchi has just 21 shots in his 11 postseason outings.
2. Mike Commodore: The big, physical defenseman is known primarily for his big, bushy mop of red hair and his happy-go-lucky personality. But, the 26-year-old defender has quickly developed into an elite defender, playing more than 20 minutes a game, often against an opponent's top line. In the New Jersey series, he was one of the players responsible for keeping the Devils top line bottled up for all but the briefest flashes of brilliance.
3. Cam Ward: The rookie goalie has been utterly unfazed by being thrown into the deep end by Laviolette. He has won eight of his nine playoff starts, has a .930 save percentage and a 1.77 goals-against average. He followed a shaky Game 4 outing against New Jersey -- four goals on 17 shots -- by allowing just one goal in the clinching game a little more than 24 hours later.
Buffalo Game Breakers
1. J.P. Dumont: Half of Dumont's six goals have come on the power play, which will be key in a series between two such evenly matched clubs. Dumont also has the speed to stretch Carolina's defense and open up the ice for his linemates. Just as importantly, he is far from a liability in his own end, with defensive responsibility a requisite for earning ice time in this series.
2. Henrik Tallinder: In his first playoff action, the 27-year-old Tallinder has been a revelation for those that do not watch Buffalo on a regular basis. He plays in all situations, is adept at moving the puck away from danger and containing threats as they develop in his own zone. Consequently, he plays almost 22 minutes per game and puts himself in numerous positions to be a difference-maker in the process.
3. Daniel Briere: The Sabres' co-captain is one of the reasons Buffalo is so dangerous in the offensive zone as he forms part of a potent one-two punch up the middle with Chris Drury. He and Drury share the team lead with 13 points and Briere has a team-high nine assists. But, he is far from just a playmaker, firing off 32 shots, which is tied for the team lead.
X Factors
Andrew Ladd (CAR): Inserted into the lineup when veteran Josef Vasicek struggled to find his form in a return from injury, Ladd has provided Laviolette with another big body to deploy in the attacking zone. Ladd has relished that role. In his limited action, banging bodies with abandon and causing traffic jams in the slot. He has two assists in his first three playoff games and has earned trust from Laviolette with his responsible and disciplined play across the three zones.
Ryan Miller (BUF): Miller just keeps silencing his critics with his play. After allowing nine goals in two road losses to Philadelphia, Miller responded by allowing just one goal during the next two games. Against Ottawa, he allowed six goals in a game Buffalo eventually won in OT. Then, in the next four games, including two OT contests, he allowed just seven goals. Now, he will face the most relentless attack he has seen so far and he must once again find the answers to the challenges the swarming, crease-crashing 'Canes will pose.
SERIES SCHEDULE
Sat, May 20 2:00 p.m. at Carolina (NBC, TSN, RDS)
Mon, May 22 7:30 p.m. at Carolina (OLN, TSN, RDS)
Wed, May 24 7:30 p.m. at Buffalo (OLN, CBC, RDS)
Fri, May 26 7:30 p.m. at Buffalo (OLN, CBC, RDS)
*Sun, May 28 7:30 p.m. at Carolina (OLN, CBC, RDS)
*Tue, May 30 7:30 p.m. at Buffalo (OLN, TSN, RDS)
*Thu, Jun. 1 7:30 p.m. at Carolina (OLN, TSN, RDS)
*if necessary
-- All times Eastern
FIVE FAST FACTS
1. In Good Company: Lindy Ruff has the fourth-best winning percentage in Stanley Cup Playoff history among coaches with 40 or more victories. He has won 40 of 65 postseason games for a .615 win percentage. Only Glen Sather (89-37, .705), Toe Blake (82-37, .689) and Scotty Bowman (223-130, .632) have better winning percentages. Ruff, however, is the only coach among the top-10 in winning percentage that doesn't own a Stanley Cup.
2. Wearing a Bull's Eye: Buffalo goalie Ryan Miller has faced 328 shots this postseason, the second-highest total behind Edmonton's Dwayne Roloson. Miller has stopped 302 of those shots for a .921 save percentage. By contrast, Carolina's Cam Ward, who has played two less games, has faced just 225 shots, stopping 208.
3. In the Line of Fire: Buffalo blocked 96 shots in the five-game series against Ottawa, an average of almost 10 per game. Amazingly, forwards accounted for 32 of those blocks against the Sens. Overall, Buffalo has blocked 203 shots in 11 postseason games. Jay McKee leads the team with 34 blocks. Carolina has blocked 202 shots, led by Frantisek Kaberle's 27.
4. Moving On Up: Rod Brind'Amour is quickly climbing the Hurricanes' postseason scoring chart. With 11 points already this season, Brind'Amour jumped from No. 9 to No. 3 on that all-time list. He now has 27 points. Only Ron Francis (39) and Kevin Dineen (31) have more career playoff points for the franchise.
5. Chasing a Legend: Eric Staal is showing once again during this postseason that he is the new face of the franchise. He already has two of Francis' most cherished playoff records in his sights. With 15 points, he is just one point away from tying Francis for most points by a Carolina player in one playoff year. His 10 assists, meanwhile, have already tied Francis' single-playoff mark. Francis set both those marks in the run to the 2002 Stanley Cup Finals.
QUOTABLE
"That's the team to beat. We knew coming in that was the best team out there. Everyone was talking about Ottawa, but we knew that Buffalo was. We thought they would win that series, maybe not as easily as they did, but we predicted them to win and it's going to be a heck of a matchup -- a lot tougher than what we've faced until now." -- Rod Brind'Amour, the Carolina captain.
"In 1999, I felt like we kept surprising ourselves. Each time we won a
round, we were kind of like, 'Wow, we won again. This year, we believe we can beat any team in a seven-game series. It's not cockiness, it's just humble confidence." -- Jay McKee, Buffalo defenseman, comparing the 2006 Sabres to the 1999 that made it to the Stanley Cup Finals before losing to Dallas.
CRYSTAL BALL
Carolina Will Win if: It sticks to its game plan. Coach Peter Laviolette does not believe in matching lines, and as both Philadelphia and Ottawa painfully learned this postseason, Buffalo is an extremely tough team to match against because of its belief in all four lines in any situation and at any point in the game. So, the Hurricanes must just do what it does best, which is gain the blue line and control the puck through a sustained cycle. Puck possession in the offensive zone not only will wear down Buffalo's defense, but will keep the Sabres' potent offensive players bottled up in the defensive zone, wasting precious energy chasing the puck. Also, the 'Canes must continue to plant bodies in front of Ryan Miller. That tactic, accompanied by loads of "incidental" contact with New Jersey's Martin Brodeur, drove the Devil netminder to distraction throughout the series. Finally, Carolina must continue to exploit its power-play advantages. More than half of Carolina's goals (15 of 27) have come while Carolina is on the power play. Its man-advantage attack is clicking a better than 27 percent, the best in the playoffs and a similar conversion rate in this series will go a long way toward putting Buffalo on its heels.
Buffalo Will Win if: It establishes its speed as the defining
factor in this series. Carolina's defense is solid, but not necessarily the
fleetest of foot as a unit. Players like Mike Commodore and Aaron Ward can be exploited by wide speed. Lindy Ruff must maintain his reliance on all four lines, as well. Carolina figured out a way to slow down New Jersey's top-heavy attack, but its defensive liabilities will be more pronounced when it is denied the opportunity to spot the less dynamic players on its roster. Buffalo cannot be afraid to shoot. Too often in the last series, New Jersey was too patient in picking its spots against rookie Cam Ward, leaving him to do little work for long stretches. Buffalo likes to shoot as often as possible from practically anywhere inside the blue line. That trend must continue here if they hope to get inside the head of the outstanding rookie. Finally, the Sabres must dominate on the power play, something it has not
done during these playoffs. Buffalo has scored just 10 man-advantage goals in 65 attempts so far. They must do better in this series, which will likely be decided by special-teams' play. Buffalo's speed will likely force Carolina into penalty trouble, the same situation that manifested itself for Carolina late in the New Jersey series. When that happens, Buffalo must be ready and able to pounce.
NHL.com is the official Web site of the National Hockey League. NHL, the NHL Shield, the word mark and image of the Stanley Cup, and NHL Conference logos are registered trademarks of the National Hockey League. All NHL logos and marks and NHL team logos and marks as well as all other proprietary materials depicted herein are the property of the NHL and the respective NHL teams and may not be reproduced without the prior written consent of NHL Enterprises, L.P. (c) 2005 NHL. All Rights Reserved.