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2016 NHL DRAFT LOTTERY TO BE HELD SATURDAY

by Chris Ryndak / Buffalo Sabres

The 2016 NHL Draft Lottery will be held Saturday night in Toronto. There, we'll find out the order of the first 14 picks of the 2016 NHL Draft, which will be held at First Niagara Center on June 24 and 25.



The Buffalo Sabres currently hold a 6 percent chance of winning the first-overall pick, eighth-best among teams in the lottery.

But that's not all.

This year, for the first time, the top three picks are all up for grabs. As a result of this change, the Toronto Maple Leafs, who earned the fewest points during the regular season, will no longer be guaranteed, at worst, the second overall pick. The Maple Leafs could fall as low as fourth overall.

THE DETAILS
Three draws will be held. The first drawing will determine the club selecting first overall, the second drawing will determine the club selecting second overall and the third drawing will determine the club selecting third overall.

Once a club is assigned a pick through the Draft Lottery Drawing, it is ineligible for further participation in the Drawing. There will be a re-draw for any pick that otherwise would be assigned to a team that already has been selected. The allocation of odds for the first drawing will be the same as for the 2015 NHL Draft Lottery. 

The odds for the remaining teams will increase on a proportionate basis for the second drawing, based on which club wins the first drawing, and again for the third drawing, based on which club wins the second drawing.

The 11 clubs not selected in the Draft Lottery Drawing will be assigned NHL Draft selections 4 through 14 in inverse order of regular-season points.

The results of the Draft Lottery will be announced during live coverage of the event at 8 p.m. on NBC, CBC and TVAS.

WHAT IT MEANS FOR BUFFALO
So in addition to that 6 percent chance at winning the top pick, Buffalo has a 6.4 percent chance of claiming the second-overall pick and a 6.8 percent shot at the third-overall pick.

However, because teams that finished ahead of the Sabres in the standings could also win any of the three lotteries, there's a chance – albeit a slim one – that Buffalo could pick as low as 11th.

Buffalo entered the past two lotteries with the best chance to win in each one, but were leapfrogged both times and ended up with the second-overall pick. The Sabres selected Sam Reinhart No. 2 in 2014 and Jack Eichel last year. You could say that both had pretty good rookie seasons.

THE BREAKDOWN

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Maple Leafs 20.0% 17.5% 15% 47.5%
Edmonton Oilers 13.5% 13.1% 12.5% 35.2% 25.8%
Vancouver Canucks 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 14.2% 37.8% 13.8%
Columbus Blue Jackets 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 3.1% 27.3% 33.2% 7.4%
Calgary Flames 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 35.5% 25.5% 3.7%
Winnipeg Jets 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 17.5% 39.3% 17.9% 1.7%
Arizona Coyotes 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 27.9% 39.1% 11.7% 0.8%
Buffalo Sabres 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 39.2% 34.8% 6.6% 0.3%
Montreal Canadiens 5.0% 5.4% 5.6% 51.8% 28.6% 3.4% 0.1%
Colorado Avalanche 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 64.0% 22.8% 1.6% 0.02%
New Jersey Devils 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 73.6% 15.9% 0.6% 0.003%
Ottawa Senators 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 82.3% 9.3% 0.1%
Carolina Hurricanes 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 90.1% 3.2%
Boston Bruins 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 96.6%
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