|A look at the NHL's draft lottery selection machine.
The 2014 NHL Entry Draft takes place on June 27-28 in Philadelphia. But before the draft takes place, the NHL needs to determine the order in which each team will pick.
With the Draft Lottery, 13 non-playoff teams have an opportunity to win the draw. A win now means that you can move up from any position into the coveted first-overall position, the only exception this year is the New Jersey Devils who must select 30th.
To ensure that the odds of all 13 Clubs eligible to win the Draft Lottery are enhanced equally to reflect the Devils' situation, the Draft Lottery this year is being modified as follows: the Devils will still be included in the Draft Lottery drawing on the same basis and with the same odds that would have normally been assigned to the Club based on and consistent with its regular-season finish. However, in the event the Devils win the Draft Lottery, an immediate re-draw will be conducted to select a different recipient of the first overall selection in the First Round. The same process will be conducted as many times as necessary to ensure that the first overall selection is awarded to a team other than New Jersey. The Devils will be entitled to the 30th selection overall in the 2014 NHL Draft (the last pick in the First Round). The Devils are not permitted to trade or transfer their right to the 30th overall selection.
The Oilers have a 14.2% chance of winning the draft lottery outright and gaining the first overall pick. If any team ranked fifth through 14th (except New Jersey) wins the lottery, the Oilers fall one spot to draft fourth. Otherwise, they will draft third.
The Draft Lottery Drawing for the 2014 NHL Entry Draft will be held Tuesday, April 15 at 6:00 p.m. MDT. Can't wait until then? We've created a simulator with all the actual odds built in so you can test out and see how the Oilers might do. Click the button below and try it out.
The best part about our simulator? If you don't like the result, hit refresh and try again! 2014 DRAFT DRAWING PROBABILITY CHART
|Non-Playoff Club ||Draft Pos. ||If Selected ||Chance to Win ||Chance to Drop ||Chance to Not Drop |
|Buffalo ||1 ||Retain 1st pick ||25.0% ||75.0% ||25.0% |
|Florida ||2 ||2nd to 1st ||18.8% ||56.2% ||43.8% |
|Edmonton ||3 ||3rd to 1st ||14.2% ||42.0% ||58.0% |
|Calgary ||4 ||4th to 1st ||10.7% ||31.3% ||68.7% |
|NY Islanders ||5 ||5th to 1st ||8.1% ||23.2% ||76.8% |
|Vancouver ||6 ||6th to 1st ||6.2% ||17.0% ||83.0% |
|Carolina ||7 ||7th to 1st ||4.7% ||12.3% ||87.7% |
|Toronto ||8 ||8th to 1st ||3.6% ||8.7% ||91.3% |
|Winnipeg ||9 ||9th to 1st ||2.7% ||6.0% ||94.0% |
|Ottawa ||10 ||10th to 1st ||2.1% ||3.9% ||96.1% |
|New Jersey ||11 ||Can't Win ||0.0% ||100% (to 30th) ||0.0% |
|Nashville ||12 ||12th to 1st ||1.1% ||1.3% ||98.7% |
|Phoenix ||13 ||13th to 1st ||0.8% ||0.5% ||99.5% |
|Washington ||14 ||14th to 1st ||0.5% ||0.0% ||100.0% |
Winning - percentage chance of winning the Draft Drawing (see above, 'If Selected')
Dropping - percentage chance of moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing
Not Dropping - percentage chance of not moving down in the draft order as a result of the Draft Drawing