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Fantasy hockey goalie, team win projections

NHL.com lists estimated 82-game individual, tandem totals; season preview podcasts

by Fantasy Hockey Staff @NHLFantasy

NHL.com has projected the win totals for all 32 teams and their goalies for fantasy hockey in the 2022-23 season. For more fantasy coverage, visit NHL.com/Fantasy and subscribe for free to the "NHL Fantasy on Ice" podcast.

 

PROJECTIONS: F | D

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RANKINGS: 📈 250 | Goalie

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GOALIE WIN PROJECTIONS

NOTES: These fantasy projections (for 82-game season) have been quantified based on factors including but not limited to past performance in the regular season and Stanley Cup Playoffs, team goalie situations, anticipated start volume, projected goal support (or lack thereof), injury history or concern, sleeper upside, anticipated regression or bounce-back candidacy, age, contract status and overall upside for this season. The below totals are safe win estimates, do not indicate each player's ceiling or floor and should be used as a basis for decision-making in all fantasy leagues, especially wins-only formats.

The order of projected win totals (highest to lowest) differs from NHL.com's fantasy top 250 rankings because the latter list takes standard peripheral categories (goals-against average, save percentage, shutouts) into account. Injuries could affect whether a player meets or comes close to his win projection. These win projections are a collaborative effort by Pete Jensen and Anna Dua.

Andrei Vasilevskiy, TBL: 40
Igor Shesterkin, NYR: 38
Jacob Markstrom, CGY: 36
Frederik Andersen, CAR: 36
Juuse Saros, NSH: 35
Thatcher Demko, VAN: 35
Jack Campbell, EDM: 35
Connor Hellebuyck, WPG: 33
Jake Oettinger, DAL: 32
Marc-Andre Fleury, MIN: 32
Alexandar Georgiev, COL: 32
Darcy Kuemper, WSH: 31
Tristan Jarry, PIT: 30
Sergei Bobrovsky, FLA: 30
Jordan Binnington, STL: 30
Jeremy Swayman, BOS: 29
Ilya Sorokin, NYI: 29
Jonathan Quick, LAK: 27
Elvis Merzlikins, CBJ: 27
Logan Thompson, VGK: 26
Ilya Samsonov, TOR: 25
Anton Forsberg, OTT: 24
John Gibson, ANA: 24
Spencer Knight, FLA: 23
Ville Husso, DET: 23
Vitek Vanecek, NJD: 22
Pavel Francouz, COL: 21
Matt Murray, TOR: 21
Philipp Grubauer, SEA: 21
Carter Hart, PHI: 20
Cal Petersen, LAK: 19
Antti Raanta / Pyotr Kochetkov, CAR: 18
Linus Ullmark, BOS: 18
Alex Nedeljkovic, DET: 18
Eric Comrie, BUF: 18
Jake Allen, MTL: 18
Adin Hill / Laurent Brossoit (INJ.), VGK: 18
Cam Talbot (INJ.) / Mads Sogaard, OTT: 17
James Reimer, SJS: 17
Karel Vejmelka, ARI: 17
Petr Mrazek, CHI: 17
Stuart Skinner, EDM: 16
Thomas Greiss, STL: 15
Craig Anderson / Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, BUF: 15
Joonas Korpisalo, CBJ: 15
Semyon Varlamov, NYI: 14
Casey DeSmith, PIT: 14
Dan Vladar, CGY: 13
Charlie Lindgren, WSH: 13
Kaapo Kahkonen, SJS: 12
Brian Elliott, TBL: 12
Filip Gustavsson, MIN: 12
Jaroslav Halak, NYR: 11
Mackenzie Blackwood, NJD: 10
David Rittich, WPG: 10
Anton Khudobin / Scott Wedgewood, DAL: 9
Kevin Lankinen / Connor Ingram, NSH: 9
Chris Driedger / Martin Jones, SEA: 9
Spencer Martin / Collin Delia, VAN: 9
Anthony Stolarz / Lukas Dostal, ANA: 7
Sam Montembeault / Cayden Primeau, MTL: 6
Jon Gillies, ARI: 6
Alex Stalock, CHI: 5
Troy Grosenick, PHI: 4

Key injuries: Carey Price, MTL; Robin Lehner, VGK; Mike Smith, EDM

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TEAM WIN PROJECTIONS

NOTES: Team win projections have been quantified by combining NHL.com's fantasy win projections for individual goalies from each team. These win projections add up to the total number of games to be played in the NHL this season (1,312). Pluses and minuses indicate team win totals compared to last season. These projections do not factor in overtime and shootout losses, which count for one point toward the NHL standings and could impact the final order of finish.

Atlantic Division:

FLA: 53 (-5)
TBL: 52 (+1)
BOS: 47 (-4)
TOR: 46 (-8)
OTT: 45 (+12)
DET: 41 (+9)
BUF: 33 (+1)
MTL: 24 (+2)

Total wins from Atlantic: 341

Metropolitan Division:

CAR: 54 (same)
NYR: 49 (-3)
PIT: 44 (-2)
WSH: 44 (same)
NYI: 43 (+6)
CBJ: 42 (+5)
NJD: 32 (+5)
PHI: 24 (-1)

Total wins from Metropolitan: 332

Central Division:

COL: 53 (-3)
STL: 45 (-4)
MIN: 44 (-9)
NSH: 44 (-1)
WPG: 43 (+4)
DAL: 41 (-5)
ARI: 23 (-2)
CHI: 22 (-6)

Total wins from Central: 315

Pacific Division:

EDM: 51 (+2)
CGY: 49 (-1)
LAK: 46 (+2)
VGK: 44 (+1)
VAN: 44 (+4)
ANA: 31 (same)
SEA: 30 (+3)
SJS: 29 (-3)

Total wins from Pacific: 324

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