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Fantasy goalie, team win projections

NHL.com lists estimated 82-game totals for each team; season preview podcasts

by Fantasy Hockey Staff @NHLFantasy

NHL.com has projected the win totals for all 32 teams and their goalies for fantasy hockey in the 2021-22 season, during which each team will play 82 games. For more fantasy coverage, visit NHL.com/Fantasy and subscribe for free to the NHL Fantasy on Ice podcast.

 

PROJECTIONS: 🔮 Forward | 'D'

RANKINGS: 📈 250 | Goalie | Tandems

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GOALIE WIN PROJECTIONS

NOTES: These fantasy projections (for 82-game season) have been quantified based on factors including but not limited to past performance in the regular season and Stanley Cup Playoffs, team goalie situations, anticipated start volume, projected goal support (or lack thereof), injury history or concern, sleeper upside, anticipated regression or bounce-back candidacy, age, contract status and overall upside for this season. The below totals are safe win estimates, do not indicate each player's ceiling or floor and should be used as a basis for decision-making in all fantasy leagues, especially wins-only formats.

The order of projected win totals (highest to lowest) differs from NHL.com's top 250 rankings because the latter list takes standard peripheral categories (goals-against average, save percentage, shutouts) into account. Injuries could affect whether a player meets or comes close to his win projection. These win projections are a collaborative effort by Pete Jensen and Rob Reese.

Andrei Vasilevskiy, TBL: 40
Connor Hellebuyck, WPG: 38
Robin Lehner, VGK: 38
Darcy Kuemper, COL: 35
Igor Shesterkin, NYR: 30
Ilya Samsonov, WSH: 29
Spencer Knight, FLA: 28
Thatcher Demko, VAN: 27
Semyon Varlamov, NYI (INJ.): 27
Cam Talbot, MIN: 27
Jacob Markstrom, CGY: 27
Juuse Saros, NSH: 27
Carter Hart, PHI: 27
Sergei Bobrovsky, FLA: 27
Jordan Binnington, STL: 26
Frederik Andersen, CAR: 26
Marc-Andre Fleury, CHI: 25
Linus Ullmark, BOS: 25
Ilya Sorokin, NYI: 24
Philipp Grubauer, SEA: 24
Carey Price, MTL**: 24
Jack Campbell, TOR: 23
Petr Mrazek, TOR: 23
Mike Smith, EDM: 23
Vitek Vanecek, WSH: 22
Calvin Petersen, LAK: 22
Kaapo Kahkonen, MIN: 22
Jeremy Swayman, BOS: 22
Pavel Francouz (INJ.) or Jonas Johansson, COL: 22
Tristan Jarry, PIT: 22
Jake Oettinger, DAL: 21
John Gibson, ANA: 21
Antti Raanta, CAR: 21
Mikko Koskinen, EDM: 21
Braden Holtby or Anton Khudobin, DAL: 21
Alex Nedeljkovic, DET: 20
Mackenzie Blackwood, NJD: 20
Casey DeSmith, PIT: 20
Laurent Brossoit, VGK: 19
Jake Allen, MTL: 18
Elvis Merzlikins, CBJ: 18
Matt Murray, OTT: 18
Kevin Lankinen, CHI: 17
Jonathan Quick, LAK: 17
Filip Gustavsson or Anton Forsberg, OTT: 17
Jaroslav Halak, VAN: 16
Alexandar Georgiev, NYR: 16
Brian Elliott, TBL: 15
Jonathan Bernier, NJD: 15
Ville Husso, STL: 15
James Reimer, SJS: 13
Chris Driedger, SEA: 12
Joonas Korpisalo, CBJ: 11
Josef Korenar, ARI: 11
Craig Anderson, BUF: 11
Martin Jones, PHI: 11
Adin Hill, SJS: 11
Carter Hutton, ARI: 11
Thomas Greiss, DET: 10
Dan Vladar, CGY: 10
David Rittich, NSH: 9
Anthony Stolarz, ANA: 8
Dustin Tokarski, BUF: 8
Eric Comrie, WPG: 8

** - Price is leaving the Montreal Canadiens to enter the NHL/NHLPA player assistance program

Key injuries: Tuukka Rask, BOS (UFA); Ben Bishop, DAL

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TEAM WIN PROJECTIONS

NOTES: Team win projections (for 82-game season) have been quantified by combining NHL.com's fantasy win projections for individual goalies from each team. The 32 NHL teams will return to the League's traditional divisions this season, with the expansion Seattle Kraken joining the Pacific and the Arizona Coyotes moving to the Central. NHL.com's win projections add up to the total number of games to be played in the NHL this season (1,312). Pluses and minuses indicate team win totals compared to their prorated 82-game win paces from last season (each team played 56 games). These projections do not factor in overtime and shootout losses, which count for one point toward the NHL standings and could impact the final order of finish.

Pacific Division:

1. VGK: 57 (-1)
2. EDM: 44 (-7)
3. VAN: 43 (+9)
4. LAK: 39 (+8)
5. CGY: 37 (-1)
6. SEA: 36 (N/A)
7. ANA: 29 (+4)
8. SJS: 24 (-7)

Total wins from Pacific: 309

Central Division:

1. COL: 57 (same)
2. MIN: 49 (-2)
3. WPG: 46 (+2)
T4. DAL: 42 (+8)
T4. CHI: 42 (+7)
6. STL: 41 (+1)
7. NSH: 36 (-9)
8. ARI: 22 (-13)

Total wins from Central: 335

Metropolitan Division:

T1. WSH: 51 (-2)
T1. NYI: 51 (+4)
3. CAR: 47 (-6)
4. NYR: 46 (+6)
5. PIT: 42 (-12)
6. PHI: 38 (+1)
7. NJD: 35 (+7)
8. CBJ: 29 (+3)

Total wins from Metropolitan: 339

Atlantic Division:

T1. TBL: 55 (+2)
T1. FLA: 55 (+1)
3. BOS: 47 (-1)
4. TOR: 46 (-5)
5. MTL: 42 (+7)
6. OTT: 35 (+1)
7. DET: 30 (+2)
8. BUF: 19 (-3)

Total wins from Atlantic: 329

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