Fantasy goalies: Rankings entering offseason

So many storylines have defined the fantasy goalie landscape in 2015-16. Most notably, the top two players at the position have built off breakout seasons to solidify their elite standing.
Braden Holtby of the Washington Capitals is 47-9-6 with a 2.20 goals-against average, .922 save percentage and three shutouts, and has led the Washington Capitals to the Presidents' Trophy. Holtby is two wins away from becoming the NHL single-season leader in wins with three games remaining.

Ben Bishop (34-21-4) ranks second in SV% (.927) and GAA (2.06) among goalies who have played at least 20 games, and should join Holtby among the Vezina Trophy nominees. He has six shutouts and has allowed two goals or fewer in 41 of 60 games. He enters next season in the top five with Henrik Lundqvist (35-20-7, 2.46 GAA, .921 SV%, four shutouts) Jonathan Quick (39-23-4, 2.23 GAA, .918 SV%, five shutouts) and Carey Price.
Price, NHL.com's preseason top-ranked fantasy goalie, went down with a knee injury in November, and his absence derailed the Montreal Canadiens' season. The team was 16-3-2 prior to his season-ending injury and is 20-34-4 since. He has the offseason ahead to recover, and is still a top-five fantasy option when healthy.
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MOVING ON UP
Goalies who emerged as fantasy steals based on Yahoo average draft position:
Petr Mrazek, Detroit Red Wings (ADP: 170.3)
True, he tailed off in March which is when he was needed most for the fantasy playoffs, but he had a breakout season. Mrazek, who won 16 games with Detroit last season, is 27-16-6 with a 2.35 GAA, .920 SV% and four shutouts. Jimmy Howard has bounced back to regain fantasy relevance late in the season, but Mrazek, a pending restricted free agent, should remain Detroit's No. 1 goalie of the future.
Thomas Greiss, New York Islanders (ADP: N/A)
Greiss had never made more than 20 starts and 25 appearances prior to this season. He is a huge reason the Islanders qualified for the Stanley Cup Playoffs; Greiss is 22-11-4 with a 2.37 GAA and .924 SV% and has outplayed oft-injured teammate Jaroslav Halak. Greiss has had four winning streaks of four or more games. He has been a top-15 fantasy goalie for most of the season and a major steal considering he went undrafted on average in Yahoo.

John Gibson, Anaheim Ducks (ADP: 165.6)
Gibson improved greatly in his second year in the NHL. The all-star is 20-12-4 with a 2.04 GAA and .921 SV% and has started the same number of games as Frederik Andersen (36), who was drafted ahead of him (ADP: 97.1). Fantasy owners who took a gamble on Gibson have been rewarded with a top-10 finish.
Other fantasy steals: Martin Jones (ADP: 126.9), Michal Neuvith (ADP: 153.5), James Reimer (ADP: 155.1), Chad Johnson (ADP: N/A), Joonas Korpisalo (ADP: N/A)
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ON THE REBOUND
Disappointing fantasy goalies who could see much better production next season:
Sergei Bobrovsky, Columbus Blue Jackets (ADP: 57.4)
It was a rough season for Bobrovsky and the Blue Jackets, who were expected to be one of the most improved teams in the League. Instead, they finished near the bottom of the standings. Bobrovsky, the 12th goalie taken on average, is 13-19-1 with a 2.77 GAA and .908 SV% and spent two stints on injured reserve because of a groin injury. He had won the Vezina Trophy in 2012-13 and at least 30 games in each of the past two seasons.
Semyon Varlamov, Colorado Avalanche (ADP: 74.0)
Varlamov has had consistency issues all season. He has an unusually high GAA (2.77), and his GAA has increased in each of the past three seasons while his SV% has declined. He has allowed at least three goals in each of his past eight starts, but also had a stretch earlier in the season allowing two or fewer goals in eight straight. Avalanche coach Patrick Roy has stuck with him through the years, but Varlamov is entering a make-or-break season.
Andrew Hammond, Ottawa Senators (162.5)
No one thought Hammond would recreate last season's miracle run (21-1-2, 1.79 GAA, .941 SV%), but then again, no one thought he would be as bad as he has been (6-11-4, 2.72 GAA, .911 SV%). Hammond has made 20 starts this season after making 23 last season, but that number should rise since Craig Anderson isn't getting any younger. Hammond has a chance to be the full-time starter next season, and the more playing time he sees, the better his numbers could be.
Other bounce-back candidates: Tuukka Rask, Mike Smith, Eddie Lack, Robin Lehner
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OFFSEASON PREVIEW
The Red Wings are not the only team with a RFA goalie dilemma, as the Ducks need to address Frederik Andersen's contract this offseason. The restricted free agent has had a remarkable season (21-9-7, 2.36 GAA, .917 SV%) including a 13-0-2 stretch from January to March. He has formed a nice tandem with Gibson but Gibson (20-12-4, 2.04 GAA, .921 SV%, four SO) is poised to eventually take over the job. Andersen may not agree to an extension if he's not going to be the starter.
The Winnipeg Jets also have a decision to make. Ondrej Pavelec has one season left on his contract and Michael Hutchinson is a pending RFA, so one could be moved this offseason. Pavelec started 29 games, Connor Hellebuyck started 26 and Hutchinson started 25. Hellebuyck had a .937 even-strength SV% and put up the best numbers of the three (13-11-1, 2.34 GAA, .918 SV%), proving he's the Jets' best long-term option.
Other RFA goalies include Calvin Pickard of the Colorado Avalanche, Joni Ortio of the Calgary Flames and Garret Sparks of the Toronto Maple Leafs. The unrestricted free agent goalie crop features Reimer of the San Jose Sharks, Cam Ward of the Carolina Hurricanes, Karri Ramo and Jonas Hiller of the Flames, and Louis Domingue of the Arizona Coyotes.
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KEEP AN EYE ON
Matthew Murray, Pittsburgh Penguins
Murray was with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton of the American Hockey League to start the season with Jeff Zatkoff backing up Marc-Andre Fleury. But with Fleury (concussion) sidelined, Murray has delivered with six straight wins. The bottom line is, Murray was a star in the minors and Fleury, as consistent as he's been through the years, is 31 years old with injury concerns and a huge contract. Murray, 21, should see at least 20 starts with Pittsburgh next season, and it will be worth watching the Penguins' course of action in the years to come.
Malcolm Subban, Boston Bruins
Subban was beaten out for the backup position by Jonas Gustavsson, but could win it next season. Rask, the starter, has had a decreasing wins total and SV% and an increasing GAA in each of the past three seasons. Subban, who made his NHL debut during the 2014-15 season, has spent the majority of the past three seasons with Providence of the AHL. He's shown progress and could be in the next wave of goalies to succeed in their rookie season, especially if the Bruins miss the playoffs again and shake things up.
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TOP 30 FANTASY GOALIE RANKINGS
These are the final fantasy goalie rankings for the 2015-16 NHL season, including injured players. Value has been quantified by projected starts, peripheral category coverage, timeshare situations, team defenses, past performance and upside in standard Yahoo categories, which include wins, GAA, SV% and shutouts. IMPORTANT NOTE: These rankings are based on how goalies performed this season, but also take into account expectations for next season. Use these rankings as a basis for deciding which players you should retain in keeper leagues from this season to next. Other factors taken into account include contract status and potential changes in scenery, injury history, breakout potential, regression, age, etc.
1. Braden Holtby, WSH
2. Ben Bishop, TBL
3. Henrik Lundqvist, NYR
4. Jonathan Quick, LAK
5. Carey Price, MTL (INJ.)
6. Marc-Andre Fleury, PIT (INJ.)
7. Corey Crawford, CHI
8. Cory Schneider, NJD
9. Jake Allen, STL (INJ.)
10. Martin Jones, SJS
11. John Gibson, ANA
12. Devan Dubnyk, MIN
13. Pekka Rinne, NSH
14. Roberto Luongo, FLA
15. Petr Mrazek, DET (RFA)
16. Tuukka Rask, BOS
17. Brian Elliott, STL
18. Frederik Andersen, ANA (RFA)
19. Steve Mason, PHI
20. Jaroslav Halak, NYI
21. Semyon Varlamov, COL
22. Thomas Greiss, NYI
23. Sergei Bobrovsky, CBJ
24. Michal Neuvirth, PHI (INJ.)
25. Andrew Hammond, OTT
26. James Reimer, SJS (UFA)
27. Jimmy Howard, DET
28. Connor Hellebuyck, WPG
29. Craig Anderson, OTT
30. Robin Lehner, BUF (INJ.)