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DraftKings outlook: Blues at Sharks, Game 4

Hertl has outscored St. Louis in series, but don't sleep on contrarian strategies

by Pete Jensen @NHLJensen / NHL.com Fantasy Insider

NOTE: Player prices are for two-game contests spanning Friday, May 20 (one game) and Saturday, May 21 (one game).

BREAKOUT CANDIDATE:

Alex Pietrangelo, St. Louis Blues ($5,700)

Pietrangelo has been held without a point in each of the first three games of the Western Conference Final and in seven straight overall, but returned value in Game 3 with five blocked shots and three shots on goal for 4.0 DraftKings points (season average: 3.3). He has at least 25 minutes of ice time in each of St. Louis' 17 playoff games, but his price has dipped $300 since Game 2 of the second round against the Dallas Stars. He's fifth at his position in DraftKings price but there's a $1,000 gap between him and the fourth defenseman, Victor Hedman of the Tampa Bay Lightning ($6,700). Pietrangelo has scored one goal, which came in Game 6 of the first round against the Chicago Blackhawks, on 29 SOG this Stanley Cup Playoffs.

TRENDING UP:

Tomas Hertl, San Jose Sharks ($5,000)

Hertl has more goals (three) through three games of the Western Conference Final than the entire Blues roster (two). He has nine SOG in the series and continues to benefit from exposure to Joe Pavelski and Joe Thornton, each of whom assisted on Hertl's two goals in Game 3. He now has five goals in six games against the Blues this regular season and postseason combined, and is averaging 3.3 DraftKings points per contest in his past 10 games (six points, five blocks, 29 SOG). He's 11th among wings in DraftKings price.

TRENDING DOWN:

Vladimir Tarasenko, St. Louis Blues ($7,700)

Tarasenko has been held without a goal or assist on 10 SOG in three games this series. He has been neutralized by the Sharks' defensive scheme, making his steep DraftKings price (second among wings) all the more difficult to spend up for. He carries against-the-grain upside for Game 4, especially with his shot volume still there and ice time picking up in the past two games, but he has been held to 1.5 DraftKings points or fewer in five of his past 10 playoff games.

VALUE LINE STACK:

Robby Fabbri ($4,100) - Paul Stastny ($4,600) - Troy Brouwer ($4,200)

This trio combined for 11 goals and 32 points in 14 playoff games entering the Western Conference Final, but the Sharks have held the line scoreless on six combined SOG through three games. That said, Brouwer has hit the post three times in the past two games, failing to capitalize on prime scoring chances. The Blues have been frustrated by the Sharks' dominance and crisp passing at each end of the ice through three games, but should eventually score some goals. If they show desperation and more discipline in Game 4, these three players could collectively carry the Blues out of their scoring funk.

GOALIE SPOTLIGHT:

Martin Jones, San Jose Sharks ($8,400)

Jones has back-to-back shutouts and three in his past four playoff games, but don't forget to credit the Sharks defense for limiting the number of high-quality scoring chances for St. Louis all series. Jones allowed two goals on 23 shots faced in Game 1 before stopping 26 shots in Game 2 and 22 in Game 3. The Sharks allow the fewest SOG per game (27.5) of the remaining four playoff teams by a good margin, so DFS owners are relying on Jones to get the win bonus, which he has done six times in seven home games with a .952 save percentage this postseason.

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