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DraftKings outlook: Capitals at Penguins, Game 6

Holtby quietly strong when facing elimination; Sheary a sleeper on top line

by Pete Jensen @NHLJensen / NHL.com Fantasy Insider

NOTE: Player prices are for two-game contests spanning Tuesday, May 10 (one game) and Wednesday, May 11 (one game).

BREAKOUT CANDIDATE:

Phil Kessel, Pittsburgh Penguins ($6,800)

Kessel leads the Penguins in shots on goal (38) in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but has not scored on 18 SOG in the Eastern Conference Second Round against the Washington Capitals. He continues to flank Nick Bonino and Carl Hagelin in a secondary role for the Penguins at even strength, and run with the big guns (Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang) on Pittsburgh's top power-play unit. The Penguins were 8-for-21 with the man-advantage in the first round against the New York Rangers, but have been held in check (1-for-16) this series, an amazing stat considering they lead the best-of-7 series. With his heavy shot volume and at least a point in seven of 10 playoff games, Kessel's DFS stock remains high, but his ceiling is even higher. His price has dipped $300 compared to Game 3 of the Penguins-Rangers series ($7,100).

STEADY PERFORMER:

T.J. Oshie, Washington Capitals ($5,600)

Oshie had five goals and four assists in 30 career playoff games entering this spring, but has matched his prior total with nine points (five goals, four assists) in 11 games this postseason. Four of his five playoff goals have come in this series; he had a hat trick in Game 1 and another multipoint outing in Game 5. He's priced in the middle range among wings, and has continued to salvage DFS value in games where he does not earn a point; he has 23 SOG in his past seven games, including four or more SOG in four of the games. He has played nearly the entire series alongside Alex Ovechkin at even strength and on Washington's first power-play unit, so he offers the cheapest exposure to the highest-priced wing and most dangerous goal scorer in the series.

DEFENSEMAN TO WATCH:

Brooks Orpik, Washington Capitals ($3,500)

Orpik has been limited to five postseason games because of an upper-body injury sustained in the Eastern Conference First Round against the Philadelphia Flyers and a three-game suspension for the hit that injured Penguins defenseman Olli Maatta earlier in this series. He returns for Game 6 to face his former team and brings as much high-floor upside as you could ask for from a defenseman priced so low. He has yet to score a playoff point but has 14 blocked shots (2.8 per game, T-9th in NHL) and four SOG in a second-pair role for the Penguins. Expect him to play more than 20 minutes and rack up at least 2.0 DraftKings points. If he gets involved in the scoring, that's icing on the cake.

VALUE PICK:

Conor Sheary, Pittsburgh Penguins ($3,500)

Sheary is playing on a line with Crosby, who leads the Penguins in playoff points (10), and Patric Hornqvist, who leads them in postseason goals (five). He has five points (two goals, three assists) and 17 SOG in 10 playoff games, but has not scored a goal on seven SOG in this series. His top-line spot makes him worth the small price to pay ($1,000 above DraftKings minimum) as a daily fantasy sleeper pick. It's also worth noting 11 of his 15 points in the regular season and playoffs combined have come at Consol Energy Center.

BETTER GOALIE OPTION:

Braden Holtby, Washington Capitals ($8,600)

The Capitals' lone three-game road losing streak came March 9-20, late in the regular season when they had the Presidents' Trophy virtually locked up. Holtby, who leads active goalies in career playoff save percentage (.938; minimum 20 games), is only $300 more expensive than Penguins rookie goalie Matt Murray, who's confirmed to start Game 6. Murray is 3-0 at home in the playoffs and was 4-1-1 there in the regular season, but Game 6 could be a different animal. Don't be surprised in the Capitals steal one on the road, especially considering they were 27-10-4 away from home in the regular season (second-best mark in NHL). The Capitals are known for their postseason shortcomings through the years, but you may be surprised to learn Holtby is 4-3 with a 1.80 goals-against average and .936 save percentage in his career when facing elimination, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

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