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DRAFT LOTTERY: The odds and percentages

Everything you need to know about the Flyers chances in tonight's drawing

by PhiladelphiaFlyers.com @nhlflyers

The Flyers will hope the ping-pong balls fall in their favor on Tuesday night as the NHL conducts the 2019 NHL Draft Lottery to determine the 1st, 2nd & 3rd overall picks in June's Entry Draft. Here's everything you need to know about the drawing:

The results will be revealed live on NBC Sports Network beginning at 8 p.m. ET. Now let's get to the numbers...

 

The odds for landing the 1st Overall pick are as follows:

1 - 18.5% - Colorado Avalanche (acquired via trade from Ottawa Senators)

2 - 13.5% - Los Angeles Kings

3 - 11.5% - New Jersey Devils

4 - 9.5% - Detroit Red Wings

5 - 8.5% - Buffalo Sabres

6 - 7.5% - New York Rangers

7 - 6.5% - Edmonton Oilers

8 - 6.0% - Anaheim Ducks

9 - 5.0% - Vancouver Canucks

10 - 3.5% - Philadelphia Flyers

11 - 3.0% - Minnesota Wild

12 - 2.5% - Chicago Blackhawks

13 - 2.0% - Florida Panthers

14 - 1.5% - Arizona Coyotes

15 - 1.0% - Montreal Canadiens

In addition to the above percentages, the Flyers could also win the 2nd & 3rd overall pick. They have an 11.4% chance to win one of the Top 3 selections in the Draft. More numbers to chew on below:

 

1st overall: 3.5%

2nd overall: 3.8%

3rd overall: 4.1%

- - - - - - - - - 

10th overall: 60.5%

11th overall: 25.7%

12th overall: 2.4%

 

It's important to note, based on the NHL's lottery drawing system, the Flyers cannot pick 4th-9th.

Sure, the percentages aren't favorable, but there is hope. In the first three years of the lottery's existence in it's current "three-draw" format, at least one team outside of the Top 5 has won the lottery and jumped into the Top 3.

Last season, the Carolina Hurricanes hit a 3.3% chance to move from 9th to 2nd overall. And let's not forget, the Flyers hit their 2.4% chance in 2017 to move up from 13th to 2nd overall and selected Nolan Patrick. They actually hold the record for largest jump in Draft Lottery history, moving up 11 spots.

The 2019 NHL Draft will take place at Rogers Arena in Vancouver. The first round will be held Friday, June 21. Rounds 2-7 will take place Saturday, June 22.

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