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Canucks Fantasy Forecast - 11.30.2009

by Derek Jory / Vancouver Canucks

Hear Ye! Hear Ye! Kyle Wellwood is once again a reliable fantasy option!

It took Kyle Wellwood a while to get going, but he’s finally back on Vancouver’s offensive radar and he should be on your fantasy radar as well.

Wellwood has been full of confidence and points of late; after going 17 games with only one assist to start the season, he’s now got five points in as many games, including a pair of goals.

A streaky player if ever there was one, Wellwood had seven points in seven games early on in the 2008-09 season, he then struck out in four of the next five contests before collecting six points in the next eight games.

Wellwood had point streaks of two in two, four in three, three in four, three in four and four in four last season, while also enduring droughts of zero in six, one in seven, one in eight and one in 10.

The moral of the story is that Wellwood, although hot to trot at the moment, has likely peaked for the time being. The smart money says he’ll come back down to earth for the first few games of Vancouver’s upcoming road trip before he collects a couple more points.

After going a game or two without a sniff, Wellwood will pot a goal or pick up a helper and it’s then he’s worth buying for the ensuing few games.

At only $1 million, Wellwood is an excellent bang for your buck.

THE WEEK THAT WAS

With a pair of wins and a loss over the last seven days, the Canucks finished their five-game homestand with a record of 3-2-0.

Vancouver followed up its 1-0 loss to Chicago on November 22 with a 4-1 win over Los Angeles in a game that saw the home side string together three goals in the third period to sneak out the win.

Henrik Sedin and Tanner Glass came through in the clutch, while Kyle Wellwood added an insurance empty net goal.

Two nights later another explosion of goals put the Canucks on the road to an encore home win; Christian Ehrhoff, Alex Burrows, Mason Raymond, Daniel Sedin and Tanner Glass all scored in the first period as Vancouver walked over Edmonton 7-3.

After scoring 11 goals in two games, the Canucks came up short with a two goal outing in a 4-2 loss to the San Jose Sharks.

Wellwood led the charge with a goal and an assist.

WE HAVE A WINNER

Three games, three winners. It’s truly that easy.

In Vancouver’s 4-1 win over Los Angeles, it was merritt denise taking the cake with 190 points, their second biggest output of the season. Of merritt denise’s eight players, only Jannik Hansen and Ryan Johnson turned out to be duds as the others averaged 31.6 each, led by Roberto Luongo’s 35 points.

Two points were all that separated jvdcanuck from 12 others when the Canucks met the Oilers on the 28th. jvdcanuck strung together 205 fantasy points, with game stars Christian Ehrhoff (39), Mason Raymond (37) and Ryan Kesler (32) paving the way.

In the final game of the week, rileythebear took a bite out of the competition with 106 points.

A late assist for Kyle Wellwood helped rileythebear pull out the win; Welly had 23 points, eight fewer than Canucks leader Steve Bernier, who had a game star and 31 points.

Click here to check out the leaderboard, it's a jumble of 5,562 fantasy fanatics.

THE WEEK AHEAD

On the road again is the theme of the week as the Canucks have three games in four nights, all away from Vancouver, starting Wednesday in New Jersey. Philadelphia is on the map for Thursday, followed by Carolina on Saturday.

If there’s one game you don’t want to miss this week, it’s the TELUS Game of the Week, which takes place Wednesday vs. the Devils. Make note of the earlier game time and be sure to get your picks in!

FRESH PICKS

Going strictly by the stats, this is going to be an up and down trip for the Canucks offensively.

The New Jersey Devils allow a league low 2.08 goals per game, while the Carolina Hurricanes surrender 3.62 a contest, good for second last in the NHL. Philadelphia is the lukewarm porridge as the Flyers are ranked 11th at 2.67.

Each game this week will require a separate strategy, so here is one a player for each game that you should have on your roster.

VS. NEW JERSEY – Henrik Sedin - $5 million The Canucks sport an ugly 3-8-0 record when scoring two goals or less, and that could be in the cards for the boys against the Devils. When the Canucks do struggle to score, Henrik Sedin does not as he leads the team with two goals and three assists in 11 games with two goals or less.

VS. PHILADELPHIA – Mathieu Schneider - $4 million Not many Canucks have collected points against the Flyers in their careers and a lot will be facing Philly for the first time on Thursday. This grizzled veteran has a team-high 17 points in 44 games versus the Flyers and he’ll add a few more in this low scoring game.

VS. CAROLINA – Mason Raymond - $2 million This contest has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, especially for the Canucks, and in games when Vancouver runs up the score for seven goals or more, which they’ve done three times this season, Mason Raymond has put up seven points, good for second on the team. Pick him up and smile.

INJURY UPDATE

Michael Grabner (fractured ankle), Alex Bolduc (shoulder), and RW Pavol Demitra (shoulder) are all on the injured reserve list.

DISCLAIMER

While I claim to be the Canucks Fantasy Hockey swami, the man with all the answers and a crystal ball as clear as they come, this is very self-described. Most of my picks are backed by stats, while others come from the gut. Use with caution!

 
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