NHL Draft Drawing Overview
The Draft Drawing is a weighted system to give the teams that finished with the fewest points during the regular season the greatest chance of having their combination selected. It involves Clubs that do not qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, or the Clubs that acquired the first-round drafting positions of those non-playoff clubs.
Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, are placed in a lottery machine. The machine expels four balls, forming a series of numbers. The four-digit series resulting from the expulsion of the balls is matched against a probability chart that divides the possible combinations among the 14 participating clubs.
Per NHL rules, the Club selected in the Draft Drawing may not move up more than four positions in the draft order. Thus, the only Clubs with the opportunity to receive the first overall selection are the five teams with the lowest regular-season point totals, or the Clubs that acquired an eligible Club’s first-round draft pick. No club will move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Drawing.
The percentage chance of a team being selected in the Draft Drawing:
| Rank at End of Regular Season |
Percentage of Selection |
| 30th |
25.0% |
| 29th |
18.8% |
| 28th |
14.2% |
| 27th |
10.7% |
| 26th |
8.1% |
| 25th |
6.2% |
| 24th |
4.7% |
| 23rd |
3.6% |
| 22nd |
2.7% |
| 21st |
2.1% |
| 20th |
1.5% |
| 19th |
1.1% |
| 18th |
0.8% |
| 17th |
0.5% |
Results of Previous Draft Drawings
Year
|
Selected
|
Effect On Draft Order |
Player Selected |
| 1995 |
Los Angeles |
Moved from 7th to 3rd |
D Aki Berg |
| 1996 |
Ottawa |
Retained 1st selection |
D Chris Phillips |
| 1997 |
Boston |
Retained 1st selection |
C Joe Thornton |
| 1998 |
Tampa Bay |
Moved from 3rd to 1st via trades |
C Vincent Lecavalier |
| 1999 |
Chicago |
Moved from 8th to 4th |
RW Pavel Brendl * |
| 2000 |
NY Islanders |
Moved from 5th to 1st |
G Rick DiPietro |
| 2001 |
Atlanta |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Ilya Kovalchuk |
| 2002 |
Florida |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Rick Nash ** |
| 2003 |
Florida |
Moved from 4th to 1st |
G Marc-Andre Fleury *** |
| 2004 |
Washington |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Alex Ovechkin |
| 2005 |
Pittsburgh |
n/a |
C Sidney Crosby |
| 2006 |
St. Louis |
Retained 1st selection |
D Erik Johnson |
| 2007 |
Chicago |
Moved from 5th to 1st |
RW Patrick Kane |
| 2008 |
Tampa Bay |
Retained 1st selection |
C Steven Stamkos |
| 2009 |
NY Islanders |
Retained 1st selection |
C John Tavares |
| 2010 |
Edmonton |
Retained 1st selection |
LW Taylor Hall |
| 2011 |
New Jersey |
Moved from 8th to 4th |
D Adam Larsson |
| 2012 |
edmonton |
Moved from 2nd to 1st |
TBD |
* NY Rangers obtained Chicago's pick in a trade (via Vancouver and Tampa Bay). The Rangers selected RW Pavel Brendl fourth overall.
** Columbus obtained Florida's pick in a trade. The Blue Jackets selected LW Rick Nash first overall
.
*** Pittsburgh obtained Florida's pick in a trade. The Penguins selected G Marc-Andre Fleury first overall.