NHL Draft Lottery Overview
The NHL Draft Lottery is a weighted system to determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of the 2015 NHL Draft. Teams finishing with the fewest points during the regular season possess the greatest chance of winning the right to the first pick in the NHL Draft. Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, are placed in a lottery machine. The machine expels four balls, forming a series of numbers. The four-digit series resulting from the expulsion of the balls is matched against a probability chart that divides the possible combinations among the 14 participating clubs.
The 2013 NHL Draft Lottery was the first in NHL history where all 14 clubs not qualifying for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, or the clubs that had acquired the first-round drafting positions of those non-playoff clubs, had a chance at winning the right to the first overall selection. Under the previous lottery system, only the five teams with the fewest points in the standings had the opportunity to win the first overall selection as rules dictated no team could move up more than four spots.
For 2015, the likelihood of each team gaining the right to the first pick is as follows:
Rank at End of Regular Season |
Percentage of Selection |
30th |
20.0% |
29th |
13.5% |
28th |
11.5% |
27th |
9.5% |
26th |
8.5% |
25th |
7.5% |
24th |
6.5% |
23rd |
6.0% |
22nd |
5.0% |
21st |
3.5% |
20th |
3.0% |
19th |
2.5% |
18th |
2.0% |
17th |
1.0% |
Results of Previous Draft Drawings
Year
|
Selected
|
Effect On Draft Order |
Player Selected |
1995 |
Los Angeles |
Moved from 7th to 3rd |
D Aki Berg |
1996 |
Ottawa |
Retained 1st selection |
D Chris Phillips |
1997 |
Boston |
Retained 1st selection |
C Joe Thornton |
1998 |
Tampa Bay |
Moved from 3rd to 1st via trades |
C Vincent Lecavalier |
1999 |
Chicago |
Moved from 8th to 4th |
RW Pavel Brendl * |
2000 |
NY Islanders |
Moved from 5th to 1st |
G Rick DiPietro |
2001 |
Atlanta |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Ilya Kovalchuk |
2002 |
Florida |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Rick Nash ** |
2003 |
Florida |
Moved from 4th to 1st |
G Marc-Andre Fleury *** |
2004 |
Washington |
Moved from 3rd to 1st |
LW Alex Ovechkin |
2005 |
Pittsburgh |
n/a |
C Sidney Crosby |
2006 |
St. Louis |
Retained 1st selection |
D Erik Johnson |
2007 |
Chicago |
Moved from 5th to 1st |
RW Patrick Kane |
2008 |
Tampa Bay |
Retained 1st selection |
C Steven Stamkos |
2009 |
NY Islanders |
Retained 1st selection |
C John Tavares |
2010 |
Edmonton |
Retained 1st selection |
LW Taylor Hall |
2011 |
New Jersey |
Moved from 8th to 4th |
D Adam Larsson |
2012 |
edmonton |
Moved from 2nd to 1st |
RW NAIL YAKUPOV |
2013 |
COLORADO |
MOVED FROM 2ND TO 1ST |
C NATHAN MACKINNON |
2014 |
FLORIDA |
MOVED FROM 2ND TO 1ST |
D AARON EKBLAD |
2015 |
EDMONTON |
MOVED FROM 3RD TO 1ST |
TBD |
* NY Rangers obtained Chicago's pick in a trade (via Vancouver and Tampa Bay). The Rangers selected RW Pavel Brendl fourth overall.
** Columbus obtained Florida's pick in a trade. The Blue Jackets selected LW Rick Nash first overall
*** Pittsburgh obtained Florida's pick in a trade. The Penguins selected G Marc-Andre Fleury first overall.