2015 NHL Draft
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Behind the Numbers

Statistical breakdown of four leading Cup contenders

Thursday, 01.28.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

As we round the corner into the 2016 Honda NHL All-Star Game and toward the homestretch of the season, who has the inside track for the Stanley Cup?

A look behind the numbers can identify the top teams, and what each needs to do in order to set itself apart from the pack.

Based on the average of three different statistical models, the Washington Capitals have a 29.9 percent chance of winning the Stanley Cup for the first time in their history. Their primary weapons are strong goaltending and the NHL's best power play, but they could be vulnerable with regards to puck possession.

Puck possession is exactly where the Los Angeles Kings shine. Los Angeles doesn't have any obvious weaknesses, and it won the Stanley Cup in 2012 and 2014.

This season, the Chicago Blackhawks may not be as dominant as the versions that won the Stanley Cup in 2010, 2013 and 2015, but they remain among the League leaders in most statistical categories.

The Dallas Stars are the wild card. They have missed the Stanley Cup Playoffs in six of the past seven seasons, but they have become one of the League's most dangerous teams offensively and could win their first Stanley Cup since 1999 with improved defensive play, especially in net and when shorthanded.

Red-hot Capitals putting up historically good numbers

Wednesday, 01.27.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

The Washington Capitals are dominating the NHL in much the same way they did in 2009-10, when they won the Presidents' Trophy with 121 points. This season’s Capitals may be even better: Washington is on pace for 130 points, which would surpass the 124 points posted by the 2005-06 Detroit Red Wings as the best single-season performance since the 2004-05 lockout.

In 46 games this season, the Capitals have 73 points, which is their best pace since Oct. 27, 2010.

Behind the Numbers: Lundqvist among best of era

Thursday, 01.21.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

If Henrik Lundqvist of the New York Rangers were to retire today, he would rank as one of the five most accomplished goalies of the past four decades.

With continued success over this and the five remaining seasons on his contract, Lundqvist could ultimately compete with Patrick Roy, Dominik Hasek and Martin Brodeur as the best goalie of the modern era.

There's no question Lundqvist is one of the most valuable goalies in the NHL. The 33-year-old has been named the first star of the game eight times this season, tied for second behind forward Evgeny Kuznetsov of the Washington Capitals (10), and has been named one of the game's three stars 18 times, tied for second behind forward Patrick Kane of the Chicago Blackhawks (20), according to Sporting Charts.

Sizzling power play has Bruins in playoff contention

Thursday, 01.14.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

If the Stanley Cup Playoffs began today, the Boston Bruins would qualify for the second wild card in the Eastern Conference, thanks to their surprisingly effective power play.

The Bruins have scored 33 goals in 116 power-play opportunities, an NHL-high 28.4 percent success rate. To put that into context, it's up from 17.8 percent last season, and it's higher than last year's Washington Capitals, who led the League with a 25.3 power-play percentage. It is also the highest in franchise history since this statistic was first recorded in 1987-88. Boston's previous high of 23.6 percent was set in the 1989-90 season, and tied in 2008-09.

The fact that four integral pieces of the power play from last season left the team in four separate summer trades makes Boston's power-play success even more surprising.

12 surprising statistics from the first half

Wednesday, 01.13.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

Half of the 2015-16 regular season is complete, and a look at the numbers reveals some intriguing statistics at the individual and team levels. Here are a dozen of the most surprising numbers through Jan. 9, which was the statistical midpoint of the season.

Justin Faulk, Carolina Hurricanes

The Stat: Scored 54.5 percent of Carolina's power-play goals

Faulk was tied with Patrick Kane of the Chicago Blackhawks with a League-leading 12 power-play goals. What makes this achievement even more surprising is that Carolina's power play ranked 25th in the League with 22 goals in 131 attempts.

Analytics say Ovechkin one of top goal-scorers ever

Sunday, 01.10.2016 / 10:13 PM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

Alex Ovechkin of the Washington Capitals became the 43rd player in NHL history to score 500 career goals when he scored against the Ottawa Senators on Sunday.

Let's break down the numbers behind where Ovechkin's goals have come from, where he ranks among history's other great goal-scorers, and how many more he might score in the future.

Among NHL franchises, the Atlanta Thrashers/Winnipeg Jets have been most victimized by Ovechkin's scoring prowess, with the Great Eight scoring 43 goals in 59 games against them.

By the Numbers: Goaltending, defense key Panthers

Thursday, 01.07.2016 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

The Florida Panthers are the hottest team in the NHL. After starting the season 8-9-4, they have won 16 of their past 19, including an active 10-game winning streak in which they have outscored their opponents 33-12, and have moved into first place in the Atlantic Division.

How are they doing it, and will it continue?

A look behind the numbers reveals Florida's improvement has been primarily because of a strong blue line and outstanding goaltending by Roberto Luongo. Offensively, the Panthers remain a below-average team, and are playing no better than even in terms of overall shot attempts.

By the Numbers: Iginla among greatest scorers

Thursday, 12.31.2015 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

Jarome Iginla of the Colorado Avalanche is poised to become the 19th player in NHL history to score 600 goals.

Digging deeper into the numbers, an argument can be made that Iginla is one of the top 10 goal-scorers in history, possibly one of the top five.

To illustrate why Iginla statistically ranks higher than 19th among goal-scorers, consider the two players immediately ahead of him: Jari Kurri, who scored 601 goals, and Dino Ciccarelli, who scored 608.

Those Hall of Fame members began their careers in the 1980-81 season and were nearing their end when Iginla made his debut in 1996-97. That means Kurri and Ciccarelli scored their 600-plus goals in the high-scoring 1980s, when scoring was 25 percent higher than it is today, and avoided most of the low-scoring "dead puck" era Iginla had to contend with. That makes it unfair to compare their goal totals with Iginla's in absolute terms.

When making adjustments for the differences in average NHL scoring levels, Iginla moves up to fifth since the 1967 expansion, and Kurri and Ciccarelli drop to 31st and 26th.

Numbers defend Karlsson's case for Norris Trophy

Thursday, 12.17.2015 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

Ottawa Senators defenseman Erik Karlsson has 35 points in 32 games, leading his team and NHL defensemen in scoring.

The ability to produce points is one of the primary reasons Karlsson is again an early-season favorite to win the Norris Trophy. If he were to do so, it would be his third in the past five years. Nine players have won the Norris Trophy three or more times.

More impressively, it would the third Norris Trophy for Karlsson by the time he finished his age-25 season. Two players have won three before his age-26 season: Bobby Orr (Boston Bruins) won the Norris Trophy for the third time at age 22 in 1969-70, and Denis Potvin (New York Islanders) did at age 25 in 1978-79.

By the Numbers: Kane isn't only big contributor

Thursday, 12.10.2015 / 3:00 AM / Behind the Numbers

Rob Vollman - NHL.com Correspondent

Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin of the Dallas Stars are generally believed to be the NHL's biggest scoring contributors -- after Patrick Kane of the Chicago Blackhawks.

However, the Stars have a potent offense that has scored 47 goals without Benn or Seguin on the score sheet, which is more than several teams have scored without their top contributors, including the New Jersey Devils and Mike Cammalleri, and the Calgary Flames and Johnny Gaudreau.

The statistic used to find the League's top offensive contributors is each player's percentage of team scoring, which is calculated as individual points divided by total goals.

Going into play Wednesday, there are six players who have contributed more than Benn and Seguin, and a couple more who are close behind.

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