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Why Washington will win the Cup

By Corey Masisak - NHL.com Staff Writer

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Why Washington will win the Cup
Underdog role suits Caps in quest for first Cup

When the summer concluded and training camps around the NHL began this fall, most pundits pegged the Washington Capitals as a top contender for the Stanley Cup. General manager George McPhee added several veteran players to augment a lineup full of young stars and more potential impact guys in waiting.

The Capitals might have had the best team in the League on paper. Obviously, it hasn't worked out that way. Washington barely qualified for the postseason, and needed some key losses by the competition to help avoid what would have been an embarrassing miss.

So how could a team that has disappointed all season and finished with at least 10 -- and probably closer to 20 -- points less than was expected get it together and win the Stanley Cup?

The Big Why: The talent is still there.

Alex Ovechkin
Alex Ovechkin
Left Wing - WSH
GOALS: 38 | ASST: 27 | PTS: 65
SOG: 303 | +/-: -8
Some guys have been injured. Some guys have not performed at a high level that was expected, but the Capitals still have Alex Ovechkin and Nicklas Backstrom, who are among the top 10-15 players in the sport. Having Backstrom back after missing three months with a concussion drastically changes the ceiling for this team.

There is depth at forward, even if some of those guys haven't produced during the regular season. Joel Ward was a playoff hero for Nashville this past season. Mike Knuble has been strong in the postseason for the Capitals the past two years.

The strength of the team might be the depth on defense. Mike Green is healthy, so the Capitals have three strong options on the right side, along with John Carlson and Dennis Wideman. Karl Alzner has found a new level this season, and is a legitimate top-pairing guy at the defensive end. The top six is strong, and Washington still has previous playoff veterans Jeff Schultz and John Erskine to call if needed.

Braden Holtby
Braden Holtby
Goalie - WSH
RECORD: 4-2-1
GAA: 2.49 | SVP: 0.922
The Big Uh-Oh: There is also depth in goal, but it might be tested. Tomas Vokoun and Michal Neuvirth are hurt right now. Both could return during the playoffs, and Braden Holtby might just be the best of the bunch anyway. Managing the goaltenders once they are all healthy could also be an issue if Holtby starts out well.

The Final Argument: Being a favorite hasn’t suited Washington in the past few years, but having less pressure at the start could be just what the Capitals need to get on a roll and ride it all the way to the first Cup in franchise history.

Washington is 16 wins from the Cup, which -- despite all of the disappointment -- is the same number that the 15 other teams still playing need as well. So, expect the Capitals to embrace the "fresh start" angle quite a bit in the coming days.

Quote of the Day

Not only is it a great idea, but if you don't [start using analytics] you're going to fall behind. You have to be on the cutting edge. It was [Arizona Coyotes assistant general manager] Darcy Regier who said, 'If you didn't invent it, you have to be the second- or third-best copier, because if you're fourth or fifth you've got no chance.'

— Detroit Red Wings coach Mike Babcock on his interest in advanced statistical analysis