In its simplest terms, Button's formula uses a team's current winning percentage, factoring in games remaining, to arrive at the number of wins -- and points -- each team will finish the season with. From that exercise, the formula can extrapolate the magic number for qualification and which teams currently in the race will reach that number. This equation will also determine tiebreakers should they become necessary.
Still not convinced? Check out the full explanation of Button's formula.
EASTERN CONFERENCE | ||||||
Current Position |
NHL Team |
Games Played |
Current Points |
Games Remaining |
Projected Points |
Wins to earn 8th |
8th | 76 | 84 | 6 | 90 | 4 | |
9th | 76 | 84 | 6 | 90 | 4 | |
10th | 76 | 78 | 6 | 84 | 6 | |
WESTERN CONFERENCE | ||||||
Current Position |
NHL Team |
Games Played |
Current Points |
Games Remaining |
Projected Points |
Wins to earn 8th |
8th | 77 | 87 | 5 | 92 | 3 | |
9th | 76 | 86 | 6 | 92 | 4 | |
10th | 78 | 86 | 4 | 90 | 4 | |
11th | 77 | 85 | 5 | 90 | 4 |
The Buffalo Sabres will be in town to face the Washington Capitals, and the winner moves into sole position of eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The projection for playoff qualification in the East remains at 91 points, so while no 'spoils' will go to the victor, that team can move a little closer towards the magic number and in turn, inflict some damage on the nearest competitor. A Washington win coupled with a Florida loss at Montreal and the Southeast Division crown also comes into sight for the Caps. Florida visits Washington one last time this season on April 5th.
Washington holds the tiebreaker over Buffalo, with more regulation and/or overtime wins -- the magical 'ROW' column in the standings -- by a wide margin. A tie in the standings does not help the Sabres. With five games remaining for each club after Tuesday, the Sabres would have to gain three more points than Washington in those games to get past them.
It is a small number but with an equally small number of games remaining, it becomes quite a task to accomplish barring a Washington collapse. The Panthers need to help their own cause and not rely upon others to push them along. Winless in their past three games, including shootout losses to the Oilers and Islanders, a Florida win has significant repercussions for the East race. It would put them four points, at the very least, up on the ninth-place team.
Again, at this point in the season with the schedule dwindling, that is a significant number and a gap that would be very difficult to overcome for the team that loses in Washington. The winner on Tuesday in Washington will get a leg up and 'control their destiny' and the Panthers can 'kill two birds with one stone' with a win.