In its simplest terms, Button's formula uses a team's current winning percentage, factoring in games remaining, to arrive at the number of wins -- and points -- each team will finish the season with. From that exercise, the formula can extrapolate the magic number for qualification and which teams currently in the race will reach that number. This equation will also determine tiebreakers should they become necessary.
Still not convinced? Check out the full explanation of Button's formula.
EASTERN CONFERENCE | ||||||
Current Position |
NHL Team |
Games Played |
Current Points |
Games Remaining |
Projected Points |
Wins to earn 8th |
8th | 69 | 76 | 13 | 89 | 8 | |
9th | 69 | 72 | 13 | 84 | 10 | |
10th | 69 | 72 | 13 | 84 | 10 | |
11th | 68 | 69 | 14 | 82 | 11 | |
12th | 69 | 68 | 13 | 79 | 12 | |
WESTERN CONFERENCE | ||||||
Current Position |
NHL Team |
Games Played |
Current Points |
Games Remaining |
Projected Points |
Wins to earn 8th |
8th | 69 | 76 | 13 | 88 | 8 | |
9th | 69 | 76 | 13 | 88 | 8 | |
10th | 70 | 76 | 12 | 88 | 8 | |
11th | 67 | 75 | 15 | 90 | 9 |
The skinny: Buffalo finds itself in the thick of a Stanley Cup Playoff race, four points behind the Washington Capitals, who currently hold the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference.
Beating the teams below you in the standings and those with whom you are competing for a playoff spot becomes paramount at this point of the season.
While the projection may look daunting for the Sabres, they control their destiny with a game against Montreal on Monday (7 p.m. ET, TSN), followed by Florida and Tampa Bay before meeting Montreal again in nine days.
That run of games is pivotal for the Sabres because they play the Capitals on March 27, but it will not be a game of meaning if Buffalo doesn't obtain points in this critical stretch of games, which include three contests against teams currently out of the playoff picture.
San Jose finds itself out of the playoff picture as the week opens -- when was the last time that was the case?
The perennial Pacific Division champions have entered into a fight for their playoff lives.
That being said, the Sharks still project to the No. 8 position in the Western Conference -- largely based on having games in hand against the other teams in contention.
One of those games is Monday night against the Edmonton Oilers (9:30 p.m. ET, TSN), a team well below them in the standings. A win can give the Sharks a bit of breathing room as they head to Calgary to face the surging Flames on Tuesday.
Two wins by the Sharks and they can re-enter the race for first in the Pacific.
That's how fast things can change as the regular season enters its final stage.